The fantasy football playoffs are here, meaning it's time to overthink and tinker every start/sit decision.
Fantasy Football Playoffs Advice
If you need some help with your Week 15 lineups, here are The Duel's Week 15 start 'em, sit 'em picks for the fantasy playoffs.
Start 'Em, Sit 'Em Week 15 Quarterbacks
Start Jimmy Garoppolo, QB, San Francisco 49ers (vs ATL): We've covered Jimmy Garoppolo pretty extensively this week for good reason. He's going to light it up in Week 15. He's been the QB5 in fantasy since Week 8 and has put up at least 15 points in six of his last seven outings. That gives him a rock-solid floor, and a matchup with the Atlanta Falcons gives him a pretty huge ceiling to boot. Atlanta surrenders the second-most fantasy points to opposing QBs. The last time Jimmy faced a pass defense that bad was Week 8 the Chicago Bears, who he torched for 27.3 fantasy points.
Sit Dak Prescott, QB, Dallas Cowboys (at NYG): Dak Prescott is in a slump right now, as Jerry Jones said himself. The Dallas Cowboys' signal-caller has put up fewer than 11.5 fantasy points in three of his last four games, though the lone exception was a 25-point outburst against the Las Vegas Raiders. A matchup with the New York Giants might look like a good bounce-back spot, but this defense is a little better than you might think. NYG has a top-10 pass defense by DVOA and surrenders average fantasy production to opposing QBs. Dallas is also a hefty 10.5-point favorite in a game with a 44.5-point over/under, per FanDuel Sportsbook. That suggests this should be a relatively low-scoring game where the Cowboys are just running out the clock in the second half – two things that work against Prescott here. He's a tough QB to trust this week.
Start 'Em, Sit 'Em Week 15 Running Backs
Start Clyde Edwards-Helaire, RB, Kansas City Chiefs (at LAC): Fantasy managers have been waiting a while for Clyde Edwards-Helaire to truly break out, but it seems like it's finally happening. CEH has put up at least 11.0 PPR points in of his games since returning from injury, including two games with 15-plus. Now he gets to face a Los Angeles Chargers' run D that has the league's worst run defense DVOA and surrenders the fifth-most PPR points to the position. He should be in for a huge game on Thursday.
Sit Rashaad Penny, RB, Seattle Seahawks (at LAR): Fantasy managers might be understandably tempted to toss Rashaad Penny into their lineups after his 26.8-point explosion last week. But this is a really difficult spot for the Seahawks' RB. The Rams have been excellent against the run this year, ranking No. 2 in rush defense DVOA. They've seemingly gotten even better now that Von Miller has gotten going, too. The Rams are surrendering 85.3 rushing yards per game over the past three weeks. For reference, that would be the best such mark in the NFL this year. LA is also a 5.5-point favorite, which suggests Seattle will be throwing a lot late, and Penny doesn't bring much to the table as a receiver. Penny will be an excellent play in Week 16 and 17, but this isn't a great spot for him.
Start 'Em, Sit 'Em Week 15 Wide Receivers
Start Hunter Renfrow, WR, Las Vegas Raiders (at CLE): It's time to accept that Hunter Renfrow is here to stay. He's fantasy's WR3 in PPR leagues since Week 9 and has put up double-digit points in all but one of those games. Darren Waller's impending return will hurt his value a bit, but is reportedly not expected to play in Week 15. Even against a stout Cleveland Browns' defense, Renfrow should be an excellent play this week.
Sit D.J. Moore, WR, Carolina Panthers (at BUF): D.J. Moore has somehow managed to remain productive despite the Carolina Panthers' inability to throw the football. But that could change in Week 15. Moore will face the Buffalo Bills, who surrender the fewest fantasy points to opposing wideouts and have the league's second-best pass defense by DVOA. Moore has faced two other top-five defenses by DVOA over his last five games, and he came away with a combined 7 receptions for 56 yards in those two. That's not what you want in the fantasy playoffs. It's hard to bench a top-20 receiver, but if you have other options, you have to at least think about it.
Max Staley is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Max Staley also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username mstaley1212. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.