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NASCAR In-Season Challenge Round 2 Matchup Predictions and Odds for Chicago
The opening round of the NASCAR In-Season Challenge was just as chaotic as expected with three of the top four seeds -- and most likely winners -- all eliminated in Atlanta.
Round two projects a lot calmer even with some question marks in play.
NASCAR's first two trips to the Chicago Street Race have involved rain, and there's a good chance we see the same on Sunday. Rain leads to wrecks and divergent strategies, making things tougher to predict.
Even accounting for those variables, though, my model is still showing the road-course aces as heavy favorites entering the Round of 16.
Below, you can find my model's head-to-head sims for each matchup in this round alongside the implied betting associated with that number. FanDuel Sportsbook's NASCAR betting odds don't currently include these matchups, but they could post them before Sunday's green flag, so we might as well prepare ahead of time.
As a note, just because a matchup is a value doesn't mean you should necessarily sprint to bet it. It's always possible I'm under-accounting for the chaos rain brings, so use your best judgement if you decide to use these sims to place some bets.
NASCAR In-Season Challenge Matchup Odds for the Chicago Street Race
Driver | Matchup Win Odds | Break-Even Betting Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Ty Dillon | 39.19% | 155 |
| Brad Keselowski | 60.81% | -155 |
Driver | Matchup Win Odds | Break-Even Betting Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bowman | 69.93% | -233 |
| Bubba Wallace | 30.07% | 233 |
Driver | Matchup Win Odds | Break-Even Betting Odds |
|---|---|---|
| John Hunter Nemechek | 25.13% | 298 |
| Chase Elliott | 74.87% | -298 |
Driver | Matchup Win Odds | Break-Even Betting Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Erik Jones | 52.49% | -110 |
| Ricky Stenhouse, Jr. | 47.51% | 110 |
Driver | Matchup Win Odds | Break-Even Betting Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Noah Gragson | 38.54% | 159 |
| Ryan Preece | 61.46% | -159 |
Driver | Matchup Win Odds | Break-Even Betting Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Carson Hocevar | 28.54% | 250 |
| Tyler Reddick | 71.46% | -250 |
Driver | Matchup Win Odds | Break-Even Betting Odds |
|---|---|---|
| A.J. Allmendinger | 48.78% | 105 |
| Ty Gibbs | 51.22% | -105 |
Driver | Matchup Win Odds | Break-Even Betting Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Zane Smith | 37.81% | 164 |
| Chris Buescher | 62.19% | -164 |
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Which bets stand out to you for Sunday's race in Chicago? Check out FanDuel Sportsbook's latest NASCAR betting odds to see the full menu of options.
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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.
