The Duel

Raheem Mostert Fantasy Outlook Still Shaky Despite Contract Restructure

Jason Schandl
Raheem Mostert's fantasy football outlook is shaky in 2020 despite his contract restructure with the San Francisco 49ers.
Raheem Mostert's fantasy football outlook is shaky in 2020 despite his contract restructure with the San Francisco 49ers. / Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images

There was some concern about the relationship between Raheem Mostert and the San Francisco 49ers when Mostert requested a trade a few weeks ago. That appears to be water under the bridge, however, as the two sides agreed to a restructured contract for the 2020 season on Monday.

Even with his contract issues settled, though, Mostert is not looking like a strong fantasy football pick in 2020.

Mostert really came out of nowhere as a breakout player in 2019. The 49ers were already his fifth NFL team, and he had a career 41 carries and 6 receptions in four seasons. He opened the year sharing the backfield with Tevin Coleman, but ended up exploding down the stretch. He scored touchdowns in each of his final 6 games of the regular season, and his stellar playoff run included a 29-carry, 4-touchdown game in the NFC Championship.

All of that success doesn't make up for some of the deeper issues with his fantasy value, however. Including the playoffs, Mostert had more than 14 carries in just two of 19 games. Even if we start with his Week 13 breakout, when he played more than 50 percent of the Niners' snaps for the first time, he averaged 14.6 carries and 1.5 targets per game.

Coleman actually had more carries than Mostert in the Wild Card round, and he will be a constant thorn in the side of Mostert's fantasy owners throughout the season. Even Jerick McKinnon, who is reportedly making great progress as he works back from a knee injury, could cut into Mostert's volume.

It's hard to trust just about any running back in fantasy football unless they have reliable volume. FantasyPros' average draft position (ADP) data reveals that Mostert is being drafted as the RB29 in PPR leagues, but our 2020 fantasy football rankings have him at just RB43.

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Jason Schandl is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Jason Schandl also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username Jaymun. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in his articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.