Islanders vs Bruins NHL Game 6 Info
NHL Playoffs Game 6 (NYI leads series 3-2)
New York Islanders (32-17-7) vs. Boston Bruins (33-16-7)
Date: Wednesday, June 9, 2021
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Venue: Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum – Uniondale, NY
Islanders vs Bruins Moneyline, Total and Odds
All Islanders-Bruins betting odds are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: Islanders +120 | Bruins -142
Spread: Islanders +1.5 (-245) | Bruins -1.5 (+198)
Total: 5.5 – Over +130 | Under -160
Odds to Win Stanley Cup: Islanders +750 | Bruins +1200
Islanders vs Bruins Predictions and Picks
- 60-minute tie +290
- Islanders moneyline +120
Islanders vs Bruins News, Analysis, and Picks
The Boston Bruins' depth will be tested in Game 6, and that's not necessarily a bad thing. Tuukka Rask has been brilliant at times this postseason, but his participation in Wednesday night's game is uncertain after being pulled with an undisclosed injury in Game 5. That would leave Jeremy Swayman to man the blue paint as the Bruins face a must-win game against the New York Islanders.
Swayman was the regular goaltender towards the end of the season as Rask dealt with an injury, posting a 7-3-0 record, 1.50 goals-against-average, and 94.5% save percentage. He finished the regular season with 10.0 goals saved above average, an outstanding metric for appearing in only 10 games. Gamesmanship is a huge part of playoff hockey, and the Bruins have been non-committal on which goalie will start in Game 6.
The Bruins will also be without Curtis Lazar, who left Game 5 with a lower-body injury. That could mean that Jake DeBrusk draws back into the lineup after being scratched in Game 5. From an analytics perspective, DeBrusk has been a better option, posting a 49.1% Corsi rating compared to Lazar's 41.2% and an expected goals-for percentage of 49.2%, which is above Lazar's mark of 41.7%.
Boston threw everything they had at the Islanders in Game 5 but didn't get the win. It was the second time this series that they posted an expected goals-for percentage above 70.0% across all strengths, but more concerning. It was only the second time they've outplayed the Islanders across all strengths. Now they face a do-or-die situation on the road as their metrics continue to suffer as the visitors.
Chances have been easy to come by for the Bruins' opponents at home this season. Boston has given up at least 30 scoring chances in all five games and 12 or more high-danger chances in four or five games. Granted, three of those games needed overtime, but none lasted more than 64:40. Consequently, the Bruins have posted an expected goals-for percentage below 50% in each of their last three road games.
The Islanders have made the most of their time on home-ice this postseason, attempting 12 or more high-danger chances in four of five and 34 or more scoring chances in three of five, for respective averages of 13.2 and 32.4.
Their impressive production metrics haven't come at the expense of their defensive integrity in their own end, as the Islanders have been out-chanced in high-danger chances just once at home this postseason. Consequently, they have posted an expected goals-for percentage above 50.0% in four of five.
The Bruins' health is a major question mark, but notwithstanding, the metrics favor the Islanders so far this series. Now, they benefit from the last change as the series heads back to New York, where the Islanders have dominated their opponents so far this postseason.
The Islanders' metrics on home ice are incompatible with being an underdog; we're taking the Islanders and wouldn't be surprised if it takes overtime to get the win.
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