The Duel

College Basketball AP Poll Paints Different Picture Than Top 10 Teams by National Championship Odds

Stuart Easton
Texas Tech v Michigan State
Texas Tech v Michigan State / Streeter Lecka/Getty Images
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Every year when the NCAA Men's Basketball rankings come out, diligent fans pour over them looking for overrated program names and potential oversights. This year, the betting odds are adding even more meat to chew on by disagreeing with the 2019 Preseason AP Top-25 Poll voters.

According to FanDuel Sportsbook, outside of No. 1 Michigan State (+700) and No. 2 Kentucky (+800), every other team has a discrepancy between its odds to win it all and its respective ranking. Baked into those two odds is a battle between a team returning a large core of experienced players in Michigan State, and a team welcoming in a load of young talent in Kentucky.

Despite being ranked fourth, Duke finds itself with the third-best odds at +900. Ahead of the Blue Devils in the polls, but behind them in the odds is Kansas at +1200. This difference puts a lot of stock into head coach Mike Krzyzewski's ability to blend the returning players with an influx of talent in his recruiting class.

Rounding out the top 5 by the betting odds, and representing the biggest shift from rankings to the odds, No. 9 UNC has the fifth-best odds at +1400. UNC head coach Roy Williams certainly has the championship pedigree to take this year's Tar Heels team to the chip, especially behind a new freshman talent like Cole Anthony.

From there, we see No. 5 Louisville, No. 6 Florida and No. 8 Gonzaga are all tied at +1700 in the odds. Each team has a case as one of the most talented rosters in the nation, but Gonzaga has been the only program to prove it can challenge for a national title in recent years.

Lastly, No. 10 Villanova boasts the ninth-best odds at +2200. Behind them sits the most disrespected team of the bunch in No. 7 Maryland, as the Terps are staring at just +2600 odds to win it all this year.


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Stuart Easton is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Stuart also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username stueast13. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

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