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Friday night marks the ​third matchup of the season in college basketball's most talked about rivalry between the Duke Blue Devils and the North Carolina Tar Heels. Unfortunately, Duke star Zion Williamson was injured in the first minute of the first game between these two, a dominating 88-72 win for the Tar Heels, which caused him to also miss the second matchup, a game UNC won by nine.


And as one might expect, with the best player in college basketball not on the court, the under hit in both of those games.

Well tonight, Zion will be on the court and fully healthy, but the over/under line of 164 points, according to ​FanDuel Sportsbook, was surely adjusted to reflect that.


This is where the recent betting trend of unders comes into play. Eleven of Duke's last 15 games overall have remained under the total, along with six of eight in the Tobacco Road series and five in a row.

While these two teams almost always produce an exciting matchup, it's become clear that they don't necessarily produce as many points as most people, and sportbooks, might expect.


This under trend clearly points in one direction, but nothing is guaranteed. The Zion effect is still there and these are two high-scoring teams in Duke and North Carolina. But again, Friday's matchup carries a little more weight, given the winner heads to the ACC Tournament championship. And with that comes more pressure and usually a few less points scored.


But no matter how many points are scored on Friday night, a full-strength Duke team will finally be on display against its biggest rival making the game well worth a watch no matter what.


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David Kaestle is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, David also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username davekaestle. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.