Week 11 Fantasy Picks: Start 'Em, Sit 'Em for Dolphins vs Broncos

By michael obermuller
Salvon Ahmed's fantasy outlook makes him the Dolphins running back to start in Week 11.
Salvon Ahmed's fantasy outlook makes him the Dolphins running back to start in Week 11. / Mark Brown/Getty Images

Brian Flores' red hot Miami Dolphins (6-3) will head to Empower Field at Mile High to play the Denver Broncos (3-6) in Week 11. The Dolphins are currently road favorites in this one, with a 3.5-point spread on FanDuel Sportsbook.

As always, this AFC battle will also have fantasy football implications, and we have all the advice you need on who to start and sit in your lineups this week.

Who Should I Start Fantasy Football

Start Salvon Ahmed, RB, Miami Dolphins: Yes, this backfield has been tough to predict all season. Yes, Matt Breida might finally return on Sunday. Yes, Salvon Ahmed was an unknown up until his first appearance in Week 9. Despite all of that, he is the most trustworthy running back in Miami heading into Week 11. Ahmed did not start his first game, but he outperformed veteran Jordan Howard immediately, rushing for 5.43 yards per carry against the Arizona Cardinals. He followed up that performance with a 21 for 85 (plus a TD) bell-cow start against the Los Angeles Chargers. Breida has name value, as a former starter with the San Francisco 49ers, but the Dolphins have shown time and time again that they don't care about who you are, just how you play. Myles Gaskin shocked the league when he won the job from Howard and Breida to start the year, and now Ahmed is doing the exact same thing, don't miss out.

Start Melvin Gordon, RB, Denver Broncos: The Dolphins defense has been a revelation in 2020, but they have been more opportunistic than stout. Miami bends and allows yardage often, especially against the run (ranked 20th), but they'll make you pay by forcing turnovers. This doesn't bold well for quarterback Drew Lock, who's already dealing with an injury, but it does bold well for running back Melvin Gordon. MGIII has been the clear-cut starter over Phillip Lindsay all season, and although he's struggled in his last three starts, this could be a bounce-back for the star RB. If Lock continues to struggle, the Broncos should push the ground game, hopefully getting Gordon back up to that 15-plus carry range.

Sit DeVante Parker, WR, Miami Dolphins: The star wideout in Miami has yet to solidify a bond with quarterback Tua Tagovailoa, and this matchup in Denver may not be an easy break-through. Out of the three games since Tua has taken over, DeVante Parker has only surpassed 40 receiving yards once. His best game was against the Arizona Cardinals, with six catches for 64 yards. It's true that the Broncos secondary hasn't been reliable this season, but top corner A.J. Bouye may return this week, and it's hard to trust a rookie quarterback to throw the ball a lot during his first game at Mile High altitudes.

Sit Jerry Jeudy, WR, Denver Broncos: It has been an up-and-down rookie campaign for Jerry Jeudy with only three games above 65 yards receiving. Of course, it's fair to mention that those three games have been Jeudy's last three starts. It's tough to see that continuing against Miami's outside corners though, especially with Drew Lock banged up and questionable to start. Xavien Howard and Byron Jones can shut players down when they're at their best, and Jeudy lacks the experience to beat coverage vets like this. He's also been limited with an ankle injury in practice, which doesn't help his chances in Week 11.

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Michael Obermuller is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Michael Obermuller also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username king_mizzard. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.