Horse Racing

Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Friday 8/5/22

The Duel Staff
Horse Racing Picks from Saratoga on Friday, Aug. 5. Bet at TVG and FanDuel Racing.
Horse Racing Picks from Saratoga on Friday, Aug. 5. Bet at TVG and FanDuel Racing. / Associated Press

Starting at 1:05 p.m. ET, we have 10 races Friday at Saratoga. Using 
numberFire’s projections as a guide, here are some of the best bets to make at FanDuel Racing.

As always, check the program at "The Spa" for scratches and changes, and monitor the weather and track conditions.

(I will reference Equibase's Speed Figure in selected races, which tells you how fast a horse has been running in each of its races -- adjusted for track, distances, and conditions).

Saratoga Betting

According to numberFire Racing's projections, these are the best bets to make at FanDuel Racing today.

1. Run for Cover and Stellar Lady, Race 6

FanDuel Racing Odds: 6/1 and 3/1
Bet Now at TVG | Bet Now at FanDuel

Race 6 is a Maiden Special Weight for 2-year-old fillies sprinting 5 1/2 furlongs on the turf. Run for Cover (6/1) and Aztec Nights (6/1) are both worth betting in their debut, and the numberFire algorithm projects Stellar Lady (3/1) to top Run for Cover.

Stellar Lady switches from dirt to turf following a good show of speed and runner-up finish last month. Love Tank (7/2) is off a runner-up finish last race with an improved 81 speed figure running on the lead into the final furlong.

2. Double Clutch and Dowagiac Chief, Race 8

FanDuel Racing Odds: 5/1 and 12/1
Bet Now at TVG | Bet Now at FanDuel

Race 8 is the $200,000 National Museum of Racing Hall of Fame Stakes (G2) for 3-year-olds going 1-mile on the inner turf. Wit (4/1) tries the turf for the first time with Jose Ortiz riding for trainer Todd Pletcher. Wit is the pick of numberFire over Tiz the Bomb (7/2) and Stolen Base (8/1). Irad Ortiz, Jr. rides Pletcher's other runner from the rail, Chanceux (6/1).

Tiz the Bomb looks overrated off his poor trip in the Belmont Derby. Double Clutch (5/1) and Celestial City (6/1) are improving with more recent speed in races after unraced at age 2.

Dowagiac Chief (12/1) could be tough if he gets to the lead in a race lacking speed. He finished fourth in a minor stakes last race at shorter odds, and ran four straight 90's speed figures previous including in graded stakes races.

3. Golden Pal, Race 9

FanDuel Racing Odds: 1/2
Bet Now at TVG | Bet Now at FanDuel

Race 9 is the $300,000 Troy Stakes (G3) for older horses sprinting 5 1/2 furlongs on the turf. The heavy favorite Golden Pal (1/2) is the preferred pick according to numberFire's data.

Golden Pal won the TVG Woodford (G2) last fall, and then the Breeders' Cup Turf (G1) before another Grade 2 win in his 2022 debut. A bad race last out in Europe won't deter bettors.

Arzak (9/2) is considered competition with 2-of-3 wins this year and his last three races over the synthetic track at Woodbine.

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