Odds for Team With Worst Regular Season Record Heavily Favor the Jaguars

Tristan Jung
NFL worst record odds favor Gardner Minshew and the Jaguars.
NFL worst record odds favor Gardner Minshew and the Jaguars. / Jason O. Watson/Getty Images

The Jacksonville Jaguars appear to be headed for a tough season ahead. After going 6-10 in 2019, offseason departures and a lack of depth mean Jacksonville is likely to regress in 2020.

Currently at FanDuel Sportsbook, the Jaguars' win total projection sits at five games and they are also "favored" to have the worst record in the NFL at +250.

2020 NFL Worst Record Odds

The Jaguars are well ahead of the competition to have the worst record in the NFL next season. At +250, they have an implied probability of 28.57% to be the worst team. The next closest teams, the Washington Redskins (+600), Cincinnati Bengals (+700) and Carolina Panthers (+700) all trail by a good margin.

Jacksonville finished 28th in Football Outsiders' DVOA last year, but it collapsed down the stretch and made almost no moves in free agency other than signing linebacker Joe Schobert. While Gardner Minshew II has some promising skills, he's still projected to be a below-average quarterback next year and has very few reliable weapons surrounding him.

The Jaguars did have a decent NFL Draft, taking cornerback C.J. Henderson and talented wide receiver Laviska Shenault, but those picks were far from enough to turn the ship around. There is also serious uncertainty surrounding star running back Leonard Fournette, whose fifth-year option won't be picked up after the season.

If you think the Jaguars are going to be historically abysmal, you can even get them at +3000 to finish the season 0-16. That might be a bit much, but there are no signs that the Jaguars are planning to contend in 2020. Tanking for someone like Trevor Lawrence may be their best play in the long-term.

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Tristan Jung is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Tristan Jung also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username tristan1117. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.