The Duel

Nick Foles Fantasy Outlook Creates Late-Season Upside After Replacing Gardner Minshew as Jaguars QB

Jason Schandl
James Gilbert/Getty Images

The Jacksonville Jaguars are making a big change during their bye week in Week 10. After being placed on IR following an injury suffered in the first quarter of Week 1, Nick Foles has been activated and announced as the starting QB against the Indianapolis Colts in Week 11.

This move sends rookie Gardner Minshew II back to the bench, and could make Foles an interesting streaming QB target in fantasy football down the stretch.

To Minshew's credit, he played well in relief of Foles, especially for a sixth-round rookie. He threw 13 touchdowns with just four interceptions, and his 7.7 adjusted yards per pass attempt are tied for 10th among qualifying quarterbacks in 2019.

Foles has shown flashes of greatness in his career, but last year he averaged just 7.0 adjusted yards per attempt in five regular season starts, following an average of 5.4 in the 2017 regular season. This QB change may well prove to be a lateral move for the Jags, leaving the fantasy value of their backs and receivers relatively unchanged.

Jacksonville's schedule could generate some solid fantasy value for Foles though. His first two games are against defenses allowing below-average fantasy production to QBs (the Tennessee Titans and Indianapolis Colts), but things clear up quickly after that.

His next four games include three against opponents (the Oakland Raiders, Atlanta Falcons and Tampa Bay Buccaneers) that are allowing top-four fantasy production to opposing QBs on a per-game basis.

Foles isn't worth adding off the waiver wire just yet, because three weeks is a long time to stash a QB on the bench. In a week or two, however, it may be worth striking early and adding him ahead of that dreamy stretch of his schedule, which comes just in time for the fantasy football playoffs.

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Jason Schandl is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Jason Schandl also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username Jaymun. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.