NFL Week 11 ATS Matchups to Exploit

ARLINGTON, TX - DECEMBER 26: Dak Prescott #4 of the Dallas Cowboys points at the line of scrimmage as the Cowboys play the Detroit Lions during the  second half at AT&T Stadium on December 26, 2016 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)
Detroit Lions v Dallas Cowboys | Ronald Martinez/Getty Images

The NFL season keeps rolling on and the league keeps providing fans with more shocking results. After going 3-0 last week, here are three games that can potentially be exploited against the spread (ATS) in Week 11.

All betting lines and odds are available via FanDuel Sportsbook.

1. Dallas Cowboys (-4) vs. Detroit Lions

ARLINGTON, TEXAS - NOVEMBER 10: Dak Prescott #4 of the Dallas Cowboys reacts as he throws a pass during the first half against the Minnesota Vikings at AT&T Stadium on November 10, 2019 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Tom Pennington/Getty Images)
Tom Pennington/Getty Images

Matthew Stafford has quietly been playing at an MVP level this season, but it doesn't look like he'll be able to suit up in Week 11, due to broken bones in his back. Entering Week 11, Stafford ranked in the top five in passer rating (106.0), passing yards per game (312.4) and touchdowns (19). In their first taste of life without Stafford, the Lions only mustered 13 points against the Chicago Bears, and Detroit could struggle to keep pace with a Dallas Cowboys team that has both a top-six scoring offense and defense.

2. Arizona Cardinals (+11) vs. San Francisco 49ers

TAMPA, FLORIDA - NOVEMBER 10: Kyler Murray #1 of the Arizona Cardinals  looks to pass during a game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium on November 10, 2019 in Tampa, Florida. (Photo by Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images)
Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images

The San Francisco 49ers have undoubtedly proven that they're a legitimate NFC contender, but this team is extremely banged up. SF could be playing without key contributors like George Kittle, Emmanuel Sanders, Matt Breida and Joe Staley. They've also lost Kwon Alexander for the remainder of the season since beating the Arizona Cardinals, 28-25, back in Week 9. Given how close Arizona managed to keep it last time, and how shorthanded San Francisco is, the Cardinals have a chance to keep this one within 10, even on the road.

3. Chicago Bears (+6.5) vs. Los Angeles Rams

CHICAGO, ILLINOIS - NOVEMBER 10: Mitchell Trubisky #10 of the Chicago Bears plays  during the game  against the Detroit Lions at Soldier Field on November 10, 2019 in Chicago, Illinois. (Photo by Nuccio DiNuzzo/Getty Images)
Nuccio DiNuzzo/Getty Images

Both of these teams have underwhelmed thus far, but the Los Angeles Rams have really struggled when facing top-tier defenses this season. The Rams are 0-2 when facing a top-five defense in Football Outsiders' Defensive DVOA rankings, and Chicago is currently fifth in that metric. Los Angeles is averaging 9.5 points per game (PPG) in such contests, and if Chicago can keep the Rams' offense under wraps, the Bears have a chance to at least keep this matchup within seven.

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Max Staley is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Max Staley also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username mstaley1212. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

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