NFL Road Teams Continued Surprising ATS Dominance in Week 11 of 2019 Season

Max Staley
Atlanta Falcons v Carolina Panthers
Atlanta Falcons v Carolina Panthers / Jacob Kupferman/Getty Images

In the NFL, home-field advantage is generally considered such an edge that oddsmakers give the host an extra three points when crafting the lines and odds for games.

However, Week 11 of the 2019 season certainly flipped the script on that narrative a bit, as road teams went a surprising 8-4-1 against the spread (ATS) while going 6-7 straight up. The "Monday Night Football" game between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Los Angeles Chargers isn't accounted for, as the game was played on a neutral field in Mexico City. However, the de facto road team, the Chiefs, won and covered.

More than a couple of these road wins came from underdogs, including the Atlanta Falcons blowing out the Carolina Panthers, 29-3, despite being 4-point dogs, and the New York Jets topping the Washington Redskins, as a 2.5-point road underdog.

While it'd be a mistake to read too much into this one week sample size, road teams have been surprisingly effective ATS this season, with a staggering 87-65-5 record.

While it's unlikely that road teams will continue to cover the spread at this rate, 11 weeks of data is pretty decent sample size. Perhaps we will begin to see things normalize a bit, at least from a gambling perspective, in Week 12, but for the time being, picking a road team or two could be a smart play.

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Max Staley is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Max Staley also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username mstaley1212. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.