NFL Divisional Round Fantasy Picks: Start 'Em, Sit 'Em for Seahawks vs Packers

Max Staley
Aaron Rodgers threw for 323 yards in Week 17 against the Detroit Lions.
Aaron Rodgers threw for 323 yards in Week 17 against the Detroit Lions. / Leon Halip/Getty Images

The standard fantasy football season might be over, but that doesn't necessarily mean you have to stop playing fantasy football. If you're a real die-hard fantasy player, there are plenty of fantasy formats that run through the NFL playoffs.

If you need help with your fantasy picks this weekend, here's some advice for the NFC Divisional Round Game between the Seattle Seahawks and Green Bay Packers. Be sure to check out our Divisional Round fantasy rankings as well.

NFL Playoff Fantasy Football

Start DK Metcalf, WR, Seattle Seahawks: DK Metcalf has been on a tear over the last couple weeks, and there's little reason to believe he'll slow down here. Much of Metcalf's fantasy production comes from his big-play ability (15.5 yards per reception, T-No. 14 in the NFL), and Green Bay has surrendered the sixth-most yards per completion in the NFL. Metcalf has turned an average of 10.5 targets into 120.5 yards and 1.0 TDs per game over his last two, and he looks poised for another strong game against a Packers' defense that has struggled defending explosive wideouts.

Start Aaron Jones, RB, Green Bay Packers: Aaron Jones is a fairly obviously selection, but this is a particularly strong matchup for the Packers' RB. The Seahawks rank No. 26 in Football Outsiders' run defense DVOA metric, and they've surrendered the 14th-most PPR points per game to opposing running backs. Green Bay could also be leading in this one, as the Packers are 4-point favorites on FanDuel Sportsbook, which could lead to a heavy workload for Jones.

Sit Travis Homer and Marshawn Lynch, RB, Seattle Seahawks: Travis Homer and Marshawn Lynch are mired in what appears to be a relatively even timeshare, as neither back has exceeded 12 carries since their roles expanded. Green Bay is a relatively soft matchup for running backs (No. 23 in rush defense DVOA, eighth-most PPR points allowed to opposing RBs) but neither RB has rushed for more than 62 yards over the last two weeks. If you're in a pinch, Homer's pass-catching ability gives him the edge over Marshawn Lynch, particularly in PPR formats, as the odds suggest Seattle could be playing from behind in this one.

Sit Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay Packers: Not playing Aaron Rodgers does mean you run the risk of missing out on a dominant postseason performance, but he just hasn't been particularly effective recently. Despite throwing 55 attempts against the NFL's fourth-worst pass defense by DVOA in Week 17, the Detroit Lions, Rodgers only tallied 323 yards – good for 5.87 per attempt. In fact, that performance marked the third straight game Rodgers had been held below 6.2 yards per attempt. For context, the only qualifying QB who was held below 6.2 yards per attempt over the season was Mitchell Trubisky (6.1). Rodgers is certainly capable of putting up a great performance in a big moment, but you might be better off looking elsewhere.

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Max Staley is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Max Staley also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username mstaley1212. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.c