The Duel

Marlon Mack Fantasy Outlook Includes Severely Limited Upside in 2020 Season

Jason Schandl
Marlon Mack's fantasy outlook makes him a player to avoid in 2020 fantasy football drafts.
Marlon Mack's fantasy outlook makes him a player to avoid in 2020 fantasy football drafts. / Justin K. Aller/Getty Images

Marlon Mack finished as the RB22 in fantasy football in 2019, and now the Indianapolis Colts' offense has upgraded to Philip Rivers at the QB position. In theory, that should put him in a great spot for the 2020 season.

In reality, however, Mack's fantasy football outlook includes some severely limited upside, making him a player to avoid in 2020 drafts.

To start with the obvious, the Colts added a premium RB prospect in the draft, spending the No. 41 overall pick on Wisconsin's Jonathan Taylor. A 2,000-yard rusher in 2019, Taylor has all the makings of a future star. Mack will start ahead of Taylor to begin the season, but his grasp on the job could be shaky as the Colts look to the future with Taylor. If Mack struggles in any given game, he could see himself spelled quickly by Taylor. And if that happens enough, Taylor could take over starting duties.

The other thing that kills Mack's upside is a lack of receiving game value.

Mack saw just 17 targets in the passing game in 2019, while primary receiving back Nyheim Hines saw 58. This wasn't just a case of Hines playing on third downs, either. Mack's volume was highly dependent on the Colts playing with a lead, averaging 40.9 snaps per game in wins and just 32.0 in losses. If we remove Week 1, that average in losses drops to 29.3 per game. Hines averaged just 15.7 snaps per game in wins, but 25.4 per game in losses.

The Colts clearly do not view Mack as an every-down RB, and he's not even a lock to remain atop the depth chart on early downs either. With such a low ceiling, Mack can be avoided in typical fantasy football drafts in 2020.

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Jason Schandl is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Jason Schandl also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username Jaymun. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in his articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.