The Duel

Final Four Expert Predictions

By Kevin Nardone
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Getty Images / Rob Carr

Cover Photo: Getty Images

Now that the dust has settled from an exciting Elite 8, the four surviving teams will ship out to U.S. Bank Stadium, in Minneapolis, for the 2019 Final Four. The semifinal round takes place on Saturday night and features the No. 5 Auburn Tigers facing off with the No. 1 Virginia Cavaliers at 6:09 p.m. EST, followed by the No. 3 Texas Tech Red Raiders and the No. 2 Michigan State Spartans at 8:49 p.m. EST.

There are no runaway favorites in this year's Final Four. In fact, neither matchup has a spread higher than 5.5 points at FanDuel Sportsbook. If you're looking to place a wager on one of these games, you might want to check out what some industry experts have to say before making your bets.

Final Four Predictions

Bleacher Report

Kerry Miller, of Bleacher Report, is anticipating two close matchups on Saturday. She is predicting a Virginia victory, 58-57, in the first semifinal game, citing Virginia's advantages at three-point shooting and having a "cleaner" defensive system as the reasons for its narrow victory over Auburn.

Miller is anticipating the second game will be close as well, predicting that Tariq Owens and Norense Odiase will be able to carry Texas Tech to victory over Michigan State, 64-61.

Finally, Miller believes that Virginia will defeat Texas Tech in yet another tight matchup, 58-57, to win the National Championship.

Belly Up Sports

The team at Belly Up Sports likes Virginia’s smothering defense to lead the Cavaliers to victory over Auburn in the first semifinal game. Similarly, they believe that Texas Tech's defense will overwhelm Michigan State and its star point guard Cassius Winston, to advance to the program's first-ever National Championship game.

Daddy's Hangout

Travis Williams, of Daddy's Hangout, has Virginia beating Auburn in the first matchup. He believes that the loss of Chuma Okeke, who tore his ACL in the Sweet 16 game against North Carolina, will finally catch up with Auburn against a stout Virginia defense.

Williams likes Michigan State in the second game, pointing to its strong veteran leadership as the deciding factor.

ESPN Basketball Power Index Matchup Predictor

ESPN's BPI is giving the favorites, Virginia, a 79.7 percent chance to win the first matchup against Auburn.

In the second game, it gives Michigan State a 60.7 percent chance to defeat Texas Tech.


Eric Bossi, of Rivals, took a deep dive into the Final Four teams, breaking them down based off their best prospects. Bossi believes that this year's Final Four is completely up for grabs, but he is backing Virginia to win the whole thing, just one year removed from becoming the first No. 1 seed to ever lose in the first round of the NCAA Tournament.

The experts are backing Virginia, big time. All five predicted that Virginia will win its semifinal matchup against Auburn straight up. Bleacher Report and Rivals took it a step further, picking the Cavaliers to win the National Championship.

The jury is split in the second matchup. Of the four experts that made a pick, two like Michigan State and two are going with Texas Tech.

New customers will get 40/1 on any of the Final Four teams to win the tournament.