Deshaun Watson Being Disrespected by 2020 Projections

Jason Schandl
Deshaun Watson 2020 projections are disrespectfully low.
Deshaun Watson 2020 projections are disrespectfully low. / Christian Petersen/Getty Images

Deshaun Watson may not have DeAndre Hopkins to throw to in 2020, but he's still one of the best young quarterbacks in the NFL, and expectations should be high for his fourth pro season.

The projections for his season, however, are insultingly low.

FanDuel Sportsbook has the over/under for Watson's passing yards set at 3,849.5.

Watson has cleared that mark in each of the last two seasons, despite the fact that he only played 15 games in 2019. In fact, his career low 242.7 yards per game from his 2017 rookie season would even have put him on a 16-game pace to clear the over.

Losing Hopkins is far from a death sentence for Watson's potential output in 2020. The team did bring in another deep threat in Brandin Cooks, and replacing Carlos Hyde with David Johnson is a massive upgrade in the receiving department.

Watson has also averaged more adjusted yards per attempt (AY/A, which factors in touchdowns and interceptions) when targeting both Will Fuller (10.9) and Kenny Stills (10.8) than when targeting Hopkins (9.2).

Much of that will have been because defenses were focusing most of their attention on Hopkins, but having a wide array of weapons to spread the ball to in 2020 means we shouldn't expect much of a dip in efficiency from Watson.

Sitting tied for the fifth-best MVP odds in the NFL (at +1700), there's no way Watson's 2020 projections should be so low.

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Jason Schandl is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Jason Schandl also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username Jaymun. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in his articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.