AL East Predictions, Expert Picks and Odds for the 2020 MLB Season

Jason Schandl
AL East expert picks favor the Yankees to win the division in 2020.
AL East expert picks favor the Yankees to win the division in 2020. / Elsa/Getty Images
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Spring Training is underway and the 2020 MLB season is rapidly approaching. There's been no shortage of drama this offseason, and baseball fans can breathe a sigh of relief now that we have games to focus on, and the on-field product is once again the center of attention.

The 2020 World Series race is wide open, but some early favorites stand out in the field: the Houston Astros, the Los Angeles Dodgers and the New York Yankees. Before they worry about the World Series, though, teams need to focus on the regular season and take care of their division.

With that in mind, here is how industry experts see the American League East shaping up in 2020.

Picks to Win the American League East

Predictions from USA Today come from their panel of six experts, PECOTA projections come from Baseball Prospectus, and Clay Davenport (who co-founded Baseball Prospectus) projections come from his personal website. FanDuel Sportsbook win totals and odds to win the division are as of February 26, 2020.

USA Today: New York Yankees
PECOTA: New York Yankees
Clay Davenport: New York Yankees
FanDuel Sportsbook Favorite: New York Yankees

The three sources are unanimous in their predictions that the New York Yankees will win the AL East for the second consecutive season. Notably, all three also project the standings to play out in the exact same order.

New York Yankees Predictions 2020

USA Today: 103-59
PECOTA: 99-63
Clay Davenport: 98-64
FanDuel Sportsbook Win Total: 101.5
Odds to Win the AL East: -550

Projected with a range of 98 to 103 wins, it's clear that the Yankees are expected to be an absolute force in 2020 — no surprise, considering they're also the World Series favorites.

Tampa Bay Rays Predictions 2020

USA Today: 92-70
PECOTA: 87-75
Clay Davenport: 90-72
FanDuel Sportsbook Win Total: 90.5
Odds to Win the AL East: +500

Projected with a record that could be good enough to win some of the weaker divisions in baseball, the Rays are expected to be nipping at the Yankees' heels, and all three sources have the Rays finishing with a strong enough record to lock up an AL Wild Card spot.

Boston Red Sox Predictions 2020

USA Today: 84-78
PECOTA: 84-78
Clay Davenport: 85-77
FanDuel Sportsbook Win Total: 84.5
Odds to Win the AL East: +1100

Heading into 2020 without Mookie Betts, the experts are still predicting a fairly successful year for the Boston Red Sox. While they're not likely to make the playoffs with 84 or 85 wins, all three sources do project them to finish better than .500.

Toronto Blue Jays Predictions 2020

USA Today: 75-87
PECOTA: 76-86
Clay Davenport: 77-85
FanDuel Sportsbook Win Total: 75.5
Odds to Win the AL East: +4000

Still working their way through a rebuild, the Toronto Blue Jays have been unanimously projected to finish No. 4 in the AL East for the fourth consecutive season. Like we've seen recently, the Jays are not likely to be in the Wild Card hunt by the end of the season.

Baltimore Orioles Predictions 2020

USA Today: 57-105
PECOTA: 63-99
Clay Davenport: 61-101
FanDuel Sportsbook Win Total: 56.5
Odds to Win the AL East: +10000

With two of the three sources predicting triple-digit losses, it's clear that the Baltimore Orioles don't have much hope in 2020. This is a team that should be entirely focused on building for the future.


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Jason Schandl is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Jason Schandl also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username Jaymun. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

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