Cover Photo: Patrick Smith/Getty Images


It often feels like Tom Brady and the New England Patriots are invincible. Their roster changes and other teams continue to hire their positional coaches, yet Brady and the Patriots just keep on ​winning Super Bowls


However, it appears they do have one minor weakness.

First off, let's just appreciate the fact that the Patriots are 44-11 over the past three seasons and that Brady is 41-10 during that same stretch. That's an insane level of success for a quarterback in his 40s. The Patriots also happen to have played in three Super Bowls in those three seasons, coming away with two Lombardi trophies.


Still, it appears that if you're going to beat the Pats, it's going to come in a high-scoring game. In seven of Brady's 10 losses, including the Super Bowl against the Eagles, the opposing team dropped at least 30 points on the Patriots. In nine of the 10 losses, the opposing team scored at least 26.


That means you need at least five scores – the touchdowns and two field goals – to beat the Pats. The only team to beat Brady in the past three seasons without scoring 26-plus points is the Pittsburgh Steelers, who won 17-10 in 2018.

Now, of course, this is all well and good, but the Los Angeles Rams had a top-3 offense this season and ​scored precisely three points in the Super Bowl. There's also the aspect that scoring 30 points against any team would probably give you a good chance to win, and the reason more teams don't do this against the Pats is because coach Bill Belichick is a defensive genius.


But when it comes to the Patriots, their opponents should take any sort of advantage they can get at this point.


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Ian McCafferty is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Ian McCafferty also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username itmccaff. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.