Virginia's highly-anticipated matchup with No. 2 Duke on Saturday didn't exactly go the way the Cavaliers hoped. Duke never trailed and the closest UVA came after 3-0 was down by four points a couple of different times. It was wire-to-wire dominance from Duke as Virginia suffered its second loss of the season, both to the Blue Devils.
The loss was rough, but as UVA prepares to take on yet another Top 10 team Monday night, the loss to Duke actually favors it.
#UVA is 18-6 SU following a regular season loss since the start of the 2013-14 #NCAAB season. No. 3 Virginia is currently a pick'em against No. 8 #UNC on the road in Chapel Hill tonight via @FDSportsbook— The Duel (@TheDuelSports) February 11, 2019
#UVA has gone 1-5 SU against #Duke in its last six regular season meetings. But Virginia has gone 4-1 SU in games following its last five matchups with Duke and 3-1 SU following a regular season loss to Duke.— The Duel (@TheDuelSports) February 11, 2019
The one loss over the last five? At #UNC in the 2016-17 season.
This is still great news for UVA even if that one loss is unsettling since they're in Chapel Hill Monday night. It also shows that while UVA has been one of the best teams in the nation the past few years, it just can't seem to make it past Duke when it needs to. The Cavaliers needed other teams to do it for them to win the ACC, but they won't even have that chance if they can't defeat UNC in Chapel Hill.
But with UVA a pick'em against UNC, the betting trends are in its favor. The Cavaliers are great after a loss under Tony Bennett, they're great after a loss to Duke and they've won three straight over the Tar Heels. If Virginia wants to maintain its Top 5 ranking then it's going to have to prove the trends right in Chapel Hill.
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Ian McCafferty is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Ian McCafferty also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username itmccaff. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.