KANSAS CITY, MO - DECEMBER 24:  Running back Kareem Hunt #27 of the Kansas City Chiefs rushes up field against the Miami Dolphins during the first half of the game at Arrowhead Stadium on December 24, 2017 in Kansas City, Missouri. ( Photo by Peter G. Aiken/Getty Images )

5 Players Who Will Underperform Their ADP in Fantasy

Sometimes, a player's actual production level is much lower than his average draft position would indicate in a typical fantasy draft. Now, this isn't a list of players who lack talent. It's list of players who, while talented and able to produce, won't live up to the level of production expected of their draft slot.


Here are the five still-talented players most likely to underperform their ADP.

5. QB Deshaun Watson

Deshaun Watson took the league by storm as rookie and would have established himself among the game's elite if he hadn't gotten injured. Watson looks primed for a bounce-back campaign now that he's healthy, but the 9.3 touchdown percentage he had last season is unsustainable. He'll produce well enough, but he won't give you the points a player with his ADP should.

4. RB Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry is the lead back in Tennessee and is expected to see most, if not all, of the early down work this year. The key phrase, though, is "early down." 


The Titans signed Dion Lewis to be a pass catching threat out of the backfield on third downs. If Henry can't get going early, Lewis will cut into more of his snaps, decreasing his value as a result.

3. WR Doug Baldwin

Doug Baldwin is a quality receiver, but there's a good chance that he'll underperform his ADP. Seattle's offensive line can't block anyone and Russell Wilson will be running for his life more often than not. Naturally, fewer passes will be thrown Baldwin's way if Wilson is constantly on the run and, while he's capable of making something out of nothing, there's no guarantee that Baldwin is the guy he'll throw to.

2. RB Alvin Kamara

Despite an impressive rookie season, keep in mind that Alvin Kamara never received more than 12 carries in a game last season. Does that mean he'll be a bust this year? Absolutely not, but he won't have the volume to justify being the seventh player taken off the board, especially when Mark Ingram returns from suspension in Week 5.

1. RB Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt is a consensus first-rounder and near the very top of every fantasy player's big board. However, it's unlikely that he'll be able to replicate the production he had last year. Hunt received 90 percent of the backfield touches last season thanks to an injury-depleted corps. Now that Spencer Ware is back in the fold, Hunt won't see enough volume to justify his RB1 status.


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Mike Esposito is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Mike Esposito also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username espo6891. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.