In a matchup with major playoff implications, the 10-1 New England Patriots travel southwest to face the 7-4 Houston Texans. New England is currently a 3-point road favorite in this one, according to FanDuel Spoortsbook.
If you're looking for an alternative way to wager on this game, here are four of the best prop bets for Sunday night's matchup between the Patriots and Texans.
1. Tom Brady - Passing Yds: Over 271.5 (-112)
Tom Brady is beginning to enter his late season swoon, as he has thrown two touchdowns in his past three games while averaging 230.3 passing yards per contest. The Patriots tend to lean on the run late in the season, but a matchup against the Texans could call for a pass-heavy game script. Brady threw for 277 yards against the Texans last season, and is expected to have all of his receiving weapons back here. Against a Texans' defense that ranks No. 26 in Football Outsiders' pass defense DVOA rankings, Brady has a decent shot to reach 272 passing yards Sunday night.
2. Julian Edelman - Receiving Yds: Over 71.5 (-112)
While Brady will have his full compliment of receiving options against the Texans, Julian Edelman should once again reign supreme from a target perspective. Despite the struggles in the passing game, Edelman has had at least 78 receiving yards in five of the last seven weeks. He has averaged 11.4 target per game over that span, and is averaging 73.5 yards per game this season. Edelman should have little issue beating Vernon Hargreaves in coverage and should serve as Brady's safety blanket in instances where the 42-year-old QB is pressured by Houston's pass rush.
3. Will Fuller - Receiving Yds: Under 50.5 (-112)
Will Fuller is typically viewed as a boom-or-bust player, but this season, the boom almost entirely came in Week 5 against the Atlanta Falcons, when the Texans' deep threat caught 14 passes for 217 yards and three touchdowns. Fuller had his second-best game last week against the Indianapolis Colts, catching seven balls for 114 yards. Outside of those two games, however, Fuller has averaged 38.3 yards per contest. For a player with such high variance, a matchup with New England's league-best secondary does not seem like a good spot for Fuller. It will be interesting to see how New England defends both Fuller and DeAndre Hopkins, but both players should receive plenty of defensive attention on Sunday night.
4. Deshaun Watson - Passing Yards: Under 241.5 (-112)
As mentioned above, New England's secondary has been flat-out dominant this season. The Patriots have held opposing passers to 158.0 passing yards per game, and New England is also the No. 1 ranked pass defense per Football Outsiders' DVOA rankings. New England hasn't allowed an opposing signal-caller to reach 242 yards since Week 1 (Ben Roethlisberger), and Deshaun Watson could struggle to reach that total in Week 13.
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