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NFL teams shock the world and flip expectations upside down seemingly every season. The Chicago Bears did this last season, as they nearly doubled their 2018-19 expected win total with a 12-4 record in the regular season. The Jacksonville Jaguars also did this, going from pre-season Super Bowl contenders to just five total wins.
While it's rare oddsmakers find themselves too far off, here are three 2019 NFL season win totals from FanDuel Sportsbook that seem surprisingly low at first glance.
3. Dallas Cowboys: 8.5
The Dallas Cowboys are coming off of a 10-win season and are still trending upward. On offense, they should still benefit from a full season of Amari Cooper, and they also landed slot specialist Randall Cobb this offseason. They should return a much healthier offensive line and even got Jason Witten back from the "Monday Night Football" booth. On the other side of the ball, Leighton Vander Esch and Jaylon Smith remain one of the best young linebacker duos in the NFL. The Cowboys also get to play the reeling New York Giants and Washington Redskins twice in 2019.
2. Houston Texans: 8.5
This is a Houston Texans squad that ranked fourth in points allowed and 11th in points scored last season. The Texans return one of the best defensive line pairings in J.J. Watt and Jadeveon Clowney, and they still have a young gunslinger in Deshaun Watson at quarterback. This team managed 11 wins last season, even with a number of crippling injuries to their offense. However, the Texans should be returning a healthy Will Fuller and Keke Coutee at wide receiver and D'Onta Foreman at running back.
1. Chicago Bears: 9.5
The Chicago Bears won 12 games last year, but it could have easily been more. Every one of their four losses was by single digits, and two of them came in overtime. Mitchell Trubisky took a massive step forward and asserted himself as one of the more promising young QBs in the league. Meanwhile, Khalil Mack pushed an already-elite defense over the edge. The Bears allowed the fewest points per game on defense, and their offense scored the ninth-most points in the league. Chicago also landed return specialist Cordarrelle Patterson and parted ways with kicker Cody Parkey.
Taylor Smith is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Taylor also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username jtsmittyyy. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.