Week 6 Fantasy Picks: Start 'Em, Sit 'Em for Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The marquee matchup on Week 6's slate of games brings us a showdown between two all-time NFL legends, Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady. It could also prove to be a crucial game for NFC playoff seeding purposes, as the 3-2 Tampa Bay Buccaneers will be looking to hand the undefeated Green Bay Packers their first loss of the year.
If you're looking for some fantasy insight on this one, here's some start 'em, sit 'em advice for this pivotal NFC matchup.
Who Should I Start Fantasy Football
Start the Green Bay Packers' Big Three: The Packers are a tricky team to evaluate from a fantasy perspective. The offense has been absolutely ridiculous thus far, leading the NFL with an average of 38.0 points per game (PPG). But they don't have as many fantasy-relevant guys as that number might lead you to believe. Aside from Robert Tonyan (more on him in a bit), there aren't any Packers you'll feel comfortable starting once you get beyond Green Bay's "big three" (Rodgers, Aaron Jones, Davante Adams). Tampa Bay is also far and away the best defense Green Bay has played yet (No. 2 in DVOA), and that could make it difficult for anyone aside from this big three to have a good fantasy outing.
Start Tom Brady, QB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: The Packers' pass defense has looked beatable this year, as they're currently the league's seventh-worst unit against the pass, per Football Outsiders' DVOA metrics. That's obviously good news for Tom Brady. He has been up and down in Tampa, but his two worst games have come against top-13 defenses in that DVOA metric. Plus, this one features a robust 54-point over/under on FanDuel Sportsbook, and Brady should finally have all his top weapons back now that Chris Godwin is trending toward playing. This is a nice bounce-back spot for the GOAT.
Sit Robert Tonyan, TE, Green Bay Packers: Robert Tonyan has been on an absolute tear lately, but it doesn't really seem sustainable. He's fantasy's TE4 in PPR formats despite putting up a goose egg in Week 1 and being on bye in Week 5. He's done that in a three week stretch that has only seen him record 14 targets – 6 of which came in Week 4. That's absurdly efficient and certainly will not continue, especially since that all came when Adams was sidelined. With the Packers' star wideout trending toward a Week 6 return, Tonyan might not see enough volume to be worth a start against this stingy Tampa Bay defense.
Sit Rob Gronkowski, TE, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Rob Gronkowski finally showed some signs of life in Week 5, turning 6 targets into 3 receptions for 52 yards. The uptick in usage was especially encouraging considering it was his first game without OJ Howard. However, Cameron Brate also saw 6 targets (for 5 catches and 44 yards). That means Gronk isn't even the surefire TE1 on this team. With the rest of Tampa Bay's wide receivers getting back to full strength, Gronk is shaping up to be the fifth option in this passing game, at best. He's just too far down the totem pole to be worth a start.
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Max Staley is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Max Staley also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username mstaley1212. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.