The Duel

Todd Gurley Fantasy Football Outlook Points to Boom-or-Bust Value in 2020 NFL Season

Max Staley
Todd Gurley is a high-risk, high-reward fantasy football asset.
Todd Gurley is a high-risk, high-reward fantasy football asset. / Jayne Kamin-Oncea/Getty Images

This time last year, Todd Gurley was viewed as a high-risk, high-reward asset due to a lingering knee issue. Fast forward a year later and he's since joined the Atlanta Falcons, but not much has changed in 2020.

If the 25-year-old RB proves he's back to full strength, it's not a stretch to think he could return RB1 value next season. But if that knee injury flares up, or limits him throughout the year, Gurley could quickly become a bust.

Todd Gurley Fantasy Football Outlook

While Gurley undoubtedly regressed last season, it's fair to put some of that blame on his offensive line. In 2017 and 2018, when he was the RB1 in back-to-back campaigns, Gurley was running behind a top-5 run-blocking offensive line, per Pro Football Focus.

That efficiency took a nosedive in 2019, though, finishing as the league's seventh-worst unit in that same category.

Atlanta wasn't much better either, finishing No. 22, but the Falcons have invested significant resources into fixing that unit recently. Potentially running behind a better run-blocking unit, Gurley could be much more efficient next season.

That said, even though Gurley is the clear-cut RB1 in Atlanta, that knee injury is still a concern. He missed a combined three games over the past two seasons, and even when he was active last season, the team still monitored his touches. He played at least 80 percent of the offensive snaps in 11 of 14 games in 2018, but only reached that threshold three times in 2019.

If Gurley is healthy, he's the clear-cut lead back in what should be a dominant offense. That almost always leads to fantasy production – especially for a talent like Gurley. But that knee injury is still a mystery. Until we hear otherwise, Gurley is best viewed as a high-end, boom-or-bust RB2.

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Max Staley is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Max Staley also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username mstaley1212. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.