NBA Betting Trends Suggest Raptors Will Protect Home Court in Game 1 of NBA Finals

Dan Israeli
Toronto Raptors v Golden State Warriors
Toronto Raptors v Golden State Warriors / Ezra Shaw

Cover Photo: Getty Images

The Toronto Raptors are 1-point favorites, according to FanDuel Sportsbook, in their Game 1 NBA Finals matchup with the Golden State Warriors, and the regular season numbers back it up.

The Raptors were an impressive 39-11 straight up as home favorites in the regular season, but only 24-26 against the spread (ATS), implying that they won most of those games by close margins.

The Warriors, on the other hand, were 5-5 straight up as road underdogs during the regular season and 6-4 ATS. It's a small sample, but any way you slice it the Dubs were reduced to a .500ish team when they were road dogs during the 2018-19 regular season.

While the Warriors are 18-1 straight up in their last 19 playoff series openers, most of those wins have come as home favorites. The Raptors are 8-2 straight up at home during these playoffs, with both losses coming in the first and second rounds against the Magic and Sixers. The Raptors were a perfect 3-0 at home against the Bucks in the Eastern Conference Finals.

More encouraging for the Raps, they swept their season series (2-0) against the Dubs. The first win was a November overtime thriller in Toronto that the Raptors won by a score of 131-128, while the second win at Golden State in December, 113-98, came with Kawhi Leonard on the sidelines. In Game 1 of the NBA Finals, it will be a healthy Raptors squad going against a Warriors team still missing Kevin Durant.

So while the margin of victory should remain close, the Raptors look like a solid bet to begin their first ever NBA Finals. Although, the public certainly doesn't think so, with 78 percent of bets currently counting on the defending champs.

Join FanDuel Sportsbook Today. New users get a risk-free bet up to $500. Join Now.