Gulfstream Horse Racing Picks for Saturday 2/11/23

FairwayJay
Horse Racing Picks from Gulfstream on Saturday, Feb 11.
Horse Racing Picks from Gulfstream on Saturday, Feb 11. / Associated Press
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The Gulfstream Championship Meet continues Saturday with a pair of stakes races. The 12 race card begins at 12:10 p.m. ET.

As always, check the program for scratches and changes, monitor the weather and keep an eye on the track conditions.

(I will reference Equibase's Speed Figure in selected races, which tells you how fast a horse has been running in each of its races after adjusting for track, distances, and conditions).

Gulfstream Betting Picks

According to numberFire horse racing projections, these are the best bets to make at FanDuel Racing today.

1. Miss J McKay and One Identity, Race 7

FanDuel Racing Odds: 7/5 and 8/1
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Race 7 is the $100,000 Ladies Turf Sprint for older horses at 5 furlongs. The numberFire algorithm projects the heavy favorite Miss J McKay (7/5) to win. She's ridden by strong stretch rider Joel Rosario and won her last start here a month ago from off the pace.

2. Arthur's Ride and Dreamlike, Race 10

FanDuel Racing Odds: 5/2 and 5/1
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Race 10 is a Maiden Special Weight for 3-year-olds at 1 mile. Arthur's Ride (5/2) is the favorite and top pick according to numberFire's data. He gets' first time Lasix for trainer Bill Mott, and so does Dreamlike (5/1) and Case (3/1).

Arthur's Ride is a son of Tapit with a pair of runner-up finishes last fall. He makes his 2023 debut with a strong bullet work in place. Dreamlike is a son of the great Gun Runner and makes his career debut for trainer Todd Pletcher.

3. Yes I Am Free and Belgrano, Race 11

FanDuel Racing Odds: 6/1 and 2/1
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Race 11 is the $125,000 Grade 3 Gulfstream Turf Sprint for older horses at 5 furlongs on the turf. Ten runners are lined up and the numberFire data picks Yes I am Free (6/1) to win ahead of the favorites, Carotari (3/1) and Belgrano (2/1).

Carotari won a pair of minor stakes last year, but has hit the board (2nd) in just 1-of-5 graded stakes. Yes I Am Free has won 10-of-24 starts including a Claiming race last month. He also won a Grade 3 race here 1 year ago. Belgrano is an 8-year-old War Front colt with 10 wins in 45 starts including a win here a month ago with a 101 speed figure.

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