The Duel

End Zone Targets and Goal-to-Go Rushes Could Point to 2019 Fantasy Football Success

Zach Brunner
Super Bowl LIII - New England Patriots v Los Angeles Rams
Super Bowl LIII - New England Patriots v Los Angeles Rams / Elsa/Getty Images
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The opportunity to score touchdowns is one of the most important factors to consider when building a fantasy football team. Looking at end zone targets and goal-to-go rushes from last season can give insight into the opportunity a player may be given this season.

These opportunities could allow individual fantasy players to finish with a high number of touchdowns.

When Todd Gurley is healthy, he is one of the best running backs in fantasy due to his combination of skill and scoring opportunities. He was given 30 goal-to-go rushes last season, which is a big reason why he finished with 17 rushing touchdowns in 14 games played.

Tied at 26 goal-to-go rushes were Saquon Barkley, Chris Carson and Sony Michel. Barkley is the consensus top overall fantasy pick in 2019, but Michel is particularly intriguing considering he only only played in 13 games last season. If the Patriots starting RB stays healthy, Michel could be a great source of TDs in 2019, at a discount price (RB23).

This same concept can be applied to end zone targets for receivers. However, there is a caveat as the two players with the most such targets in 2018 are in very different offensive situations in 2019. Antonio Brown should still see plenty of targets, but he's now with the Oakland Raiders, a much worse offense than he was a part of in Pittsburgh. And while Eric Ebron remains with the Colts, his opportunities will likely decline with more competition for targets from Devin Funchess and Jack Doyle, especially in the red zone.

DeAndre Hopkins, Davante Adams and Odell Beckham Jr. have been consistently ranked at or near the top of the WR rankings, and their potential to finish with high touchdown totals is a big reason why they're all considered WR1s.

By taking these two statistics into account as we approach draft season, fantasy owners will just have to hope you don't get stuck complaining about a "touchdown vulture" once the 2019 NFL season kicks off.


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