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Dak Prescott is Being Underrated in 2019 Fantasy Football

LOS ANGELES, CA - JANUARY 12: Quarterback Dak Prescott #4 of the Dallas Cowboys throws an incomplete pass in the third quarter against the Los Angeles Rams in the NFC Divisional Round playoff game at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum on January 12, 2019 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Kevork Djansezian/Getty Images)
Kevork Djansezian/Getty Images

Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott turned in one of his most productive seasons as a pro in 2018, slinging 22 touchdowns and a career-high 3,885 yards through the air. He doesn't seem to be getting the respect he deserves in fantasy football, though, as he has an average draft position (ADP) of QB17.

An ADP in the middle of the pack might seem like it makes sense for Prescott, who has largely been a middle-of-the-pack passer at the NFL level. But it doesn't capture what he's done in fantasy football.

Prescott scored the 10th-most fantasy points among quarterbacks in 2018, which followed up finishes of QB10 in 2017 and QB6 in his 2016 rookie campaign.

Dak has been a consistent producer so far, tossing 22 or 23 touchdowns in each of his three seasons while also adding six scores on the ground each year. With the extreme fantasy football value that rushing quarterbacks offer, it's also worth noting that Prescott's 18 rushing touchdowns since entering the league are the most for any quarterback. Nobody else at the position has run for more than 15.

Prescott's numbers also made a sharp jump after the Cowboys acquired wide receiver Amari Cooper in a blockbuster trade with the Oakland Raiders, as he no longer had to try to produce with Cole Beasley as his top target.

In nine games played with Amari Cooper, Dak averaged 20.2 fantasy points per game – up from 17.2 per game before Cooper arrived. For season-long context, 20.2 fantasy points per game would have ranked eighth among quarterbacks in 2018, while 17.2 would have ranked 13th. A 13th-ranked finish would still be fine value where Prescott is being drafted now, but that top-10 upside is what really makes him an exciting pick.

He saw some increased volume with Cooper around, averaging 35.6 pass attempts per game in the split, but his efficiency also soared with a star wideout to throw to. He averaged more touchdowns per game, fewer interceptions per game, a higher completion percentage and more passing yards per attempt after the trade.

Currently going as QB17, Prescott could be a steal come draft day.

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Jason Schandl is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Jason Schandl also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username Jaymun. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in his articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

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