CBS Sports Predicts Joe Burrow to Set an NFL Record in His Rookie Season

Joue Burrow could be in for a monster rookie season.
Joue Burrow could be in for a monster rookie season. / Michael Hickey/Getty Images
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Expectations for Joe Burrow's rookie campaign are high. And why wouldn't they be? He's coming off arguably the greatest season a college quarterback has ever had, breaking records left and right en route to a Heisman Trophy and a National Championship.

But the bar might've been raised even higher. CBS Sports is projecting a monster season from Burrow, one that would even break a rookie record.

John Breech, of CBS Sports, predicts that Burrow will lead the AFC North in touchdown passes, and he argued he'd need to throw at least 27 TDs to do so. Of course, 27 TDs is the rookie record that Baker Mayfield set back in 2018.

Notably, Burrow has a much better skill-position group than No. 1 overall picks typically do. He'll be throwing to A.J. Green, Tyler Boyd, Auden Tate, John Ross and rookie standout Tee Higgins. That's quite the arsenal.

The race won't be easy, though. Lamar Jackson threw 36 touchdowns last year, though that does seem due to regress, and Ben Roethlisberger has averaged 28.8 TDs per year across his last five healthy seasons. At this point Mayfield is a bit of an enigma, but he threw 27 TDs as a rookie and should be due for a bounce-back year.

Suffice it to say, if Burrow pulls this off he'll be on the fast track to superstardom.


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Max Staley is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Max Staley also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username mstaley1212. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.