Bills Super Bowl Odds Currently Tied With Titans as Biggest Dark Horses of 2019-20 NFL Playoffs

Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen celebrates a score in a game against the Miami Dolphins.
Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen celebrates a score in a game against the Miami Dolphins. / Michael Reaves/Getty Images
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The Buffalo Bills clinched their second playoff appearance in three years with a 10-6 finish to the 2019-20 NFL regular season, but the oddsmakers don't seem to share any overwhelming confidence in Buffalo's shot to win Super Bowl 54.

The Bills are currently tied with the Tennessee Titans for the worst odds to win it all this February, and Buffalo also sits as a 2.5-point road underdog against the Houston Texans in Saturday's AFC Wild Card Game, according to FanDuel Sportsbook.

Bills Odds to the Win Super Bowl

The Bills currently have +5000 odds to win the Super Bowl and +2500 to win the AFC Championship. Even if the Bills win on the road at Houston, Josh Allen and company would also likely go on the road to face the No. 1 seed and overall favorite Baltimore Ravens in the AFC Divisional Round if the No. 3 New England Patriots defeat the No. 6 Tennessee Titans as 5-point home favorites in Foxboro on Saturday night.

Buffalo ranks 13th in overall team DVOA, but also ranks sixth in defensive DVOA. The Bills' team has been better than one would expect for a +5000 team during the regular season though, losing close games to both the Patriots and Ravens.

The Bills began the season with +15000 odds to win the Super Bowl, according to FanDuel Sportsbook, after a disappointing 2018 campaign that left them 6-10. The Bills have proved many of their doubters wrong this year though, peaking at +3500 odds to win the Super Bowl on December 12, but have since fallen back to +5000 after dropping into the No. 5 seed.

Football Outsiders' playoff chances give the Bills just a 1.2 percent shot to win the Super Bowl, which is actually lower than the 1.96 percent implied probability offered by their +5000 odds.

While the Bills remain heavy underdogs to win it all this year, they appear to have a bright future behind Allen at QB along with the support from their talented defensive side of the ball.


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Tristan Jung is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Tristan Jung also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username tristan1117. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.