AJ Dillon Fantasy Outlook Points to Limited 2020 Value

David Kaestle
AJ Dillon at the 2020 NFL Combine before being drafted by the Packers.
AJ Dillon at the 2020 NFL Combine before being drafted by the Packers. / Joe Robbins/Getty Images

When the Green Bay Packers failed to draft a wide receiver to help Aaron Rodgers in the 2020 NFL Draft, fans went ballistic, and most would agree that reaction was warranted.

However, they did address another skill position in the second round when they selected Boston College running back AJ Dillon. Though the high draft capital is a good sign, Dillon will be difficult to trust for fantasy football purposes in 2020.

AJ Dillon Fantasy Football Value

In Green Bay, Dillon arrives in a backfield that is already shared by Aaron Jones and Jamaal Williams. Jones is coming off a monster 2019 campaign in his first season under head coach Matt LaFleur. He racked up 1,558 yards from scrimmage and 19 total touchdowns, finishing as fantasy's RB2 in PPR formats.

Williams figures to play a role as well, having logged at least 107 rushing attempts in each of his three seasons at the NFL level. He also played 35 percent of the team's snaps in 2019. That won't leave a lot of opportunity for Dillon, though he could be a contributor for the Packers in a limited role.

Dillon was a monster at Boston College, rushing for more than 1,000 yards in all three of his collegiate seasons, including a whopping 1,685 in 2019. He had double-digit touchdowns in each season as well, including 15 total TDs last year.

Even if Green Bay is seemingly moving toward a more run-heavy offense, it's difficult to see Dillon contributing much as a fantasy option in year one. He does carry some upside if Jones misses time due to injury, but even then he'd likely be stuck in a timeshare with Williams.

Dillon is best viewed as a handcuff, or a target in dynasty leagues. He checks in as the No. 22 overall player in our post-draft rookie dynasty rankings.

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David Kaestle is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, David also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username davekaestle. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.