Tom Brady's Record Against the Bills Points to the Patriots Securing the AFC East Title in Week 16

Tom Brady threw for 169 yards against the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 14.
Tom Brady threw for 169 yards against the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 14. / Adam Glanzman/Getty Images

You'd be hard-pressed to find a quarterback with a stretch as dominant against an individual team as Tom Brady's career against the Buffalo Bills.

In his 34 starts against the divisional opponent, Brady is 31-3. He hasn't dropped a game to the Bills since December 28, 2014.

He's seen the Bills eight times since that loss, going 8-0 and winning by an average margin of 13.6. To be fair, Buffalo hasn't won 10 games in a season since 1999, so it's not like the Bills have been top-tier opponents recently.

It's hard to ignore such a dominant stretch though, even if Sean McDermott and the Bills have done an admirable job defending Brady since he took over as head coach.

As it stands currently, the Patriots are 6-point favorites over the Bills, according to FanDuel Sportsbook. And this is quite the consequential matchup, as the Patriots can clinch the AFC East with a victory on Saturday.

While New England is favored, the most recent meeting between these two suggests it could be a hard-fought battle.

The last time the Patriots' defense saw Josh Allen and the Bills, they surrendered just 10 points at New Era Field in Week 4. However, Bill Belichick's defense has looked a little more susceptible as of late, allowing 21.3 points per game (PPG) over the last three contests, compared to a season-long average of 12.9 PPG.

Meanwhile, Buffalo is playing some of its best football of the season, winning four of its last five games, surrendering just 14.4 PPG during that stretch.

This is a much better Bills team than he's used to seeing, but Brady's track record against Buffalo could ultimately prove to be the difference in Week 16.

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