The Duel

Tom Brady Being Disrespected by Latest MVP Odds

Max Staley
Tom Brady is being disrespected by his latest odds to win the NFL MVP award.
Tom Brady is being disrespected by his latest odds to win the NFL MVP award. / Jamie Squire/Getty Images
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There were a few shaky performances at the start of the year, but Tom Brady has this Tampa Bay Buccaneers' offense firing on all cylinders. With a 5-2 record and a seat atop the NFC South, Tampa Bay will be in contention for the No. 1 seed in the NFC and looks poised for a deep playoff run.

However, Brady's odds to win the 2020 NFL MVP award don't seem to reflect just how good he has been. In fact, his odds are so low they can only be described as disrespectful.

Brady is currently available at +1500 to take home his fourth NFL MVP, according to FanDuel Sportsbook. That gives him just the fourth-best odds to win the award. There's also a massive gap between Brady and Aaron Rodgers, who boasts the third-best odds at +600.

That's flat-out ridiculous. Brady had an up-and-down performance over the team's first two games, but he has been nails since then.

In the five subsequent contests, the GOAT has thrown 15 touchdowns to 1 interception while averaging 290.8 passing yards per game and posting a 111.1 passer rating. If projected out over a full 16-game season, that would have him finishing in the neighborhood of 4,653 passing yards with 48 TDs to 3 INTs. Add in the Week 7 rushing touchdown and Brady is on pace to record 51 total TDs since Week 3.

That's not just an MVP season, that would truly be one of the NFL's all-time great quarterback years.

And remember, he's doing this with a banged up skill-position group. OJ Howard was lost for the year in Week 4, Chris Godwin missed two games during that stretch, Mike Evans has been hobbled by an ankle injury all year and even Scotty Miller hasn't been 100% healthy. If Antonio Brown can successfully be integrated into the Bucs' attack (admittedly a big if), this offense has no ceiling.

The gap between Brady and Rodgers has no business being as wide as it is. There shouldn't even be a gap between the two, period. The Buccaneers-Packers game in Week 6 is proof of that.

If Brady maintains or improves upon his current pace with a second-half surge behind a healthy skill-position group, hopefully the oddsmakers will finally catch up to what he has been doing this season.


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Max Staley is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Max Staley also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username mstaley1212. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

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