Spurs vs Nuggets Betting Trend Suggests Total Points Could Go Under in NBA Playoff Series

By Kevin Nardone
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Cover Photo: Getty Images

The San Antonio Spurs kick off the 2019 NBA playoffs as underdogs on the road against the Denver Nuggets on Saturday. The Nuggets are favored by 5.5 points according to FanDuel Sportsbook and the oddsmakers are wagering that the Nuggets (-240) have an advantage over the Spurs (+190) to win the series as well.

If you aren't too confident in which team will win the series, take a look at this trend that suggests there could be a lot of totals going under in these games.

During the NBA regular season, these two teams met four times and the total went under in all four contests and was covered by an average margin of 14.13 points per game (PPG). Additionally, the two sides averaged a game total of just 205 points over this stretch, which is quite low.

This is not overwhelmingly surprising considering the Spurs, who are ranked No. 18 in the NBA in scoring per game (111.7 PPG), face a Denver defense that surrenders the sixth fewest points per game in the league (106.7 PPG). The Spurs low PPG average is in part because they attempt just 25.3 3-pointers per game, which was the fewest in the NBA this season.

Denver has also struggled to put up points this season. The Nuggets finished No. 20 in the NBA in scoring, averaging 110.7 PPG. The total went under in 47 of the Nuggets' 82 games this season.

The total has gone under in 15 of the Spurs' last 20 games and six of the last 10 Denver games, suggesting the low point totals could continue into the playoffs.

The total for Game 1 is set at 211, according to the oddsmakers at FanDuel Sportsbook, which is considerably lower than the previous matchups between these teams. Three of the four times the teams played this season, the total was set at 215 or 216 with the lone exception being their March 4 matchup which had a surprisingly high total of 229.


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