If you're a fan of old-school football and "defense wins championships," the last few seasons have probably not been your cup of tea.
Last year's Super Bowl was contested between two teams that ranked top-six in scoring in the regular season. The year before it was two teams that ranked top-five. In 2019 it was two teams that ranked top-four. In 2018 and 2017 it was two teams in the top three. The last team to make the Super Bowl without a top-six scoring offense was the Denver Broncos in the 2015 season.
In other words, if you want to figure out who's going to be playing in the Super Bowl this year, you're probably going to want to look at the NFL's best offenses.
With that in mind, here are the six best heading into the 2021 NFL season.
6. Cleveland Browns
In today's NFL "offense" has become almost synonymous with "passing offense." The Cleveland Browns flip the script. Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt are the best RB duo in the NFL, and accordingly the Browns' 2,374 rushing yards ranked No. 3 in the NFL. The only teams with more yards did it with 26 and 60 more carries than the Browns. Baker Mayfield's late-season surge makes this an incredibly well-rounded offense, and getting Odell Beckham back from injury could put them over the top in 2021.
5. Dallas Cowboys
Hot take: Dak Prescott is a big upgrade from Andy Dalton and Ben DiNucci. The Dallas Cowboys' 5,949 yards were No. 14 in the NFL despite being forced to play with backup QBs for much of the year, which is a real testament to how absurdly good a skill-position group containing Ezekiel Elliott, Amari Cooper, Michael Gallup and CeeDee Lamb is. Prescott was playing some of the best football of his career before going down in 2020, receiving an overall grade of 85.2 from Pro Football Focus. This offense looks ready to take the league by storm.
4. Buffalo Bills
The Buffalo Bills really struggled to run the ball in 2020, and that simply didn't matter. Having Josh Allen break out and work his way into the MVP conversation took this offense to some impressive heights. Led by the Allen-Diggs connection, their 31.3 points and 396.4 yards per game both ranked No. 2 in the NFL despite their 107.7 rushing yards per game ranking No. 20.
3. Green Bay Packers
The Green Bay Packers received PFF's highest offensive grade (90.7) in 2020, led by Aaron Rodgers' MVP campaign. They have one of the NFL's best running backs in Aaron Jones and arguably the best wide receiver in Davante Adams, and they also ranked top-10 in both run and pass blocking on PFF. A lack of depth at WR and uncertainty around whether Aaron Rodgers will play at the same MVP level after his most contentious offseason yet makes it hard to put the Packers ahead of last year's Super Bowl contenders, however.
2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tom Brady was slow out of the gate in his first season with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, throwing 3 touchdowns and 3 interceptions across his first two games. He went on to throw 47 touchdowns to 12 interceptions over the rest of the season (playoffs included), erasing all doubts about his ability to adapt to a new system in his 40's. Of course, throwing to Chris Godwin, Mike Evans and Antonio Brown certainly helps. Predicting Brady's downfall has never gone well for nay-sayers, but offseason MCL surgery for the now-44-year-old does pop up as a slight red flag.
1. Kansas City Chiefs
The Kansas City Chiefs sure didn't look like the best offense in last year's Super Bowl, but that had more to do with the strength of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers' defense than anything. It's hard not to pick Patrick Mahomes as the best quarterback in the NFL, and Andy Reid has designed the perfect offense to complement Mahomes' skillset. The departure of Sammy Watkins isn't going to downgrade this unit, and the Mahomes-Travis Kelce-Tyreek Hill trio is one of the scariest sights in the league. If Clyde Edwards-Helaire can make strides in his sophomore season behind a revamped offensive line, this could be the best version of the Chiefs' offense yet.
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Jason Schandl is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Jason Schandl also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username Jaymun. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in his articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.