Patriots Super Bowl Odds Hit Season-Low Mark Ahead of AFC Wild Card Game Against Titans

Tristan Jung
Tom Brady catches a snap in a game against the Bengals.
Tom Brady catches a snap in a game against the Bengals. / Michael Hickey/Getty Images

Oddsmakers are doubting the New England Patriots after a few demoralizing losses to close out the 2019-20 NFL regular season.

After dropping to the No. 3 seed in the AFC with to a Week 17 loss to the lowly Miami Dolphins, Tom Brady and Bill Belichick head into the postseason facing their worst odds to win Super Bowl LIV to date, according to FanDuel Sportsbook.

Patriots Odds to Win the Super Bowl

Just hours away from kicking off an AFC Wild Card Game against the Tennessee Titans on Sunday night, the Patriots have +1200 odds to win it all this season, which reflect just a 7.7 percent implied probability.

Their road is seemingly tougher than ever too. The Patriots are currently 4.5-point favorites over the Titans in the first round of the NFL Playoffs. But even with a win over Tennessee, the Pats would still have to go on the road and defeat the No. 2 Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium just to earn a likely road matchup with the overall betting favorite No. 1 Baltimore Ravens in the AFC Championship game.

The Patriots also have just +650 odds to win the AFC title this year. Before the season began, the Patriots were the overall favorites to win the Super Bowl at +800, according to FanDuel Sportsbook. Those odds improved to as low as +250 by November 1 after an 8-0 to start the season.

However, after losing, 37-20, to the Ravens in Week 9, New England has been on a steep decline in Super Bowl odds. The Pats had fallen as far as +650 after Week 15 and eventually fell to +1200 after losing out on a first-round bye.

Of late, the defending Super Bowl champions have struggled offensively. In the last eight games, they've scored 20 points or fewer four times and 10 points or fewer twice. That's not a great recipe for playoff success, especially considering wide receiver Julian Edelman has been limited. However, the Patriots still boast the No. 1 defense in the league by yards allowed, points allowed, and Football Outsiders' DVOA metric.

For all their defensive prowess, the season could be for naught without another vintage playoff surge from Belichick and Brady. Brady has not been his usual self in the last month, but he has proven doubters wrong in the NFL Playoffs time and time again.

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Tristan Jung is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Tristan Jung also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username tristan1117. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.