The Duel

Patrick Mahomes Fantasy Outlook Points to QB1 Potential

Max Staley
Patrick Mahomes' fantasy outlook includes QB1 potential in 2020.
Patrick Mahomes' fantasy outlook includes QB1 potential in 2020. / Focus On Sport/Getty Images
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Patrick Mahomes is already one of the most decorated players in football, and he's only entering year four. The Kansas City Chiefs' gunslinger is a two-time Pro Bowler, a Super Bowl champion, Super Bowl MVP and league MVP – and he's only been a starter for two seasons.

Of course, he's just as dominant in fantasy football. Kansas City's $500 million man should be in for another monster year in 2020.

Patrick Mahomes Fantasy Football Outlook

Mahomes is currently coming off the board with an average draft position (ADP) of QB1, per FantasyPros. That's exactly where he should be going.

It may feel a bit counterintuitive to draft him ahead of Lamar Jackson, who had the most productive fantasy season of all time in 2020, but Jackson could be due for a regression. For example, he threw a league-high 36 touchdowns in 2019 despite Baltimore attempting a league-low 440 passes. That's unsustainable.

Jackson's 9.0 percent TD rate was even higher than Peyton Manning's 2013 (8.3), when he broke the all-time record for touchdowns. It's unrealistic to expect a repeat performance there, even for someone as talented as Lamar.

Mahomes, on the other hand, has nowhere to go but up. He still managed to finish as QB7 despite missing two games due to injury. If we remove the game he left early when he suffered that injury, he would've been QB2 on a per-game basis.

Plus, Tyreek Hill missed four games due to injury last year. Kansas City just added the dynamic Clyde Edwards-Helaire in the NFL Draft and Mecole Hardman looks primed for a second-year breakout. The Chiefs' offense could be even better in 2020, and it's arguably the best skill-position group Mahomes has ever had.

The 24-year-old should be in for another monster year. We have him as the QB1 in our 2020 fantasy football rankings.


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Max Staley is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Max Staley also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username mstaley1212. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

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