Derrick Henry Fantasy Outlook Makes Him a Top-10 Pick After Signing Franchise Tag in Tennessee

Jason Schandl
Derrick Henry's fantasy football outlook makes him an easy first-round pick in 2020.
Derrick Henry's fantasy football outlook makes him an easy first-round pick in 2020. / Peter G. Aiken/Getty Images

One of the big stories of the 2019 fantasy football season was Derrick Henry finally having a full breakout season. He had shown flashes over the last few years, but he took it to another level in 2019, leading the NFL in both rushing yards (1,540) and rushing touchdowns (16).

The Tennesse Titans used the franchise tag on Henry, who was set to become an unrestricted free agent, and that locks him in as a top fantasy football back again in 2020.

Derrick Henry Fantasy Football 2020

Even without offering much through the air (206 yards on 18 receptions), Henry's rushing numbers were enough to have him finish RB5 in point-per-reception (PPR) scoring, with 294.6 fantasy points. In standard scoring, he jumped to RB2, only trailing Christian McCaffrey.

That lack of receiving work holds Henry out of the conversation as the top back in fantasy football, as guys like McCaffrey, Ezekiel Elliott and Saquon Barkley have the edge in both floor and ceiling. But if anyone is equipped to return huge value on the ground, it's Henry.

Averaging 5.1 yards per carry like he did in 2019 isn't usually going to be sustainable, but considering he's now averaged 4.8 across 804 career rush attempts, his efficiency doesn't stand to fall off too much. This Titans team is also going to give him all the volume he can handle.

Even though they weren't always playing with a lead, finishing 9-7, Tennessee gave Henry an NFL-high 303 rush attempts — 20.2 per game.

The team isn't going to be paying franchise tag money ($10.2 million) to a back they're not planning to continue leaning on. If he stays healthy, Henry is all but a lock to be among the league leaders in rush attempts once again in 2020.

The lack of receiving upside keeps him outside the true top tier, but he should be a mid-to-late first-round pick in fantasy football drafts.

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Jason Schandl is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Jason Schandl also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username Jaymun. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.