College Football Teams on Upset Alert in Week 11

By David Hayes
New Mexico State v Alabama
New Mexico State v Alabama / Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

College football's Week 11 lineup brings us some marquee games, including three top-20 matchups headlined by No. 2 LSU taking on No. 3 Alabama for control of the SEC West in Tuscaloosa at 3:30 p.m. EST.

After a relatively quiet Week 10, anchored by No. 6 Georgia's win over No. 10 Florida, here's a look at the three teams that need to be on upset alert, both straight up and against the spread, in Week 11.

All college football betting odds and spreads are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.

1. No. 2 LSU Tigers @ No. 3 Alabama Crimson Tide (-6.5)

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Just like every other program in the SEC, LSU has proven no exception to Alabama's warpath of dominance over the past decade under Saban. The Tigers have lost eight straight to the Tide, and it hasn't even been close lately, with Bama outscoring LSU by a combined margin of 193-73 during that stretch. However, these late LSU rosters defined by defensive tenacity have also been notoriously lacking offensive firepower, especially from the QB position. And the 2019 Tigers, lead by Heisman Trophy betting favorite Joe Burrow, appear to have found the answer to that problem through Week 6 of this season. Averaging 46.8 points per game (PPG) thus far, LSU currently boasts the No. 4 scoring offense in the nation, and Burrow's arm also has the Tigers' passing attack sitting No. 2 in the land behind 377.6 passing yards per game. Considering the Tide are averaging 48.6 PPG (No. 2) of their own on offense, it's no secret you're going to need to put up some serious points to beat Alabama. And after Burrow torched a solid Texas Longhorns' defense for 471 passing yards (31-of-39), four TDs and 45 points on the road in Week 2 and dismantled an even better Florida Gators' defense for 293 yards (21-of-24), three TDs and 42 points at home in Week 7, it looks like has LSU finally found that that missing link.

2. Appalachian State @ South Carolina (-5.0)

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While Appalachian State's most recent showing against Georgia Southern was both the Mountaineers' first loss and worst performance of the season, App State has had since last Thursday night to prepare for Saturday's matchup in Columbia. While the transitive property of winning college football games is never the most sound gauge, App State went on the road in Week 3 and beat the same North Carolina team that defeated South Carolina in Week 1 of the season. The Mountaineers can play, and they've proven they have what it takes beat Power 5 competition away from home.

3. Illinois Fighting Illini @ Michigan State Spartans (-15)

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Illinois' stunning upset over 31-point favorite and then-No. 6 Wisconsin in Week 9 has seemingly given the program new life. The Fighting Illini have now won three straight games to climb above .500 (5-4) overall and 3-3 in conference, outscoring their last two opponents by a combined margin of 62-16. Michigan State, on the other hand, has now dropped three in a row, albeit in consecutive matchups with then-No. 4 Ohio State, then-No. 8 Wisconsin and then-No. 6 Penn State. However, the last time the Spartans were favored by 14 or more, Michigan State had to battle back from a fourth-quarter deficit to survive 14-point underdog Indiana, 40-31, at home in Week 5.

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David Hayes is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, David Hayes also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username DavidWHayes. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.