Andrew Luck Ankle Injury Could Hurt Fantasy Value for Rest of Colts Offense

Jason Schandl
Indianapolis Colts v Jacksonville Jaguars
Indianapolis Colts v Jacksonville Jaguars / Sam Greenwood/Getty Images

The last couple of seasons have given us a terrific case study on how a quarterback like Andrew Luck can impact an offense. The Indianapolis Colts finished in the top 10 in both yards and points in 2016, in the bottom three in both when Luck missed the entire 2017 season, then bounced back to seventh in yards and fifth in points with Luck's return in 2018.

Andrew Luck's ankle injury has kept him off the practice field throughout training camp, and if anything, news on the injury is only getting more troubling.

This news is, of course, a big blow for Andrew Luck's fantasy football value in 2019. With how closely the offense's success is tied to his play though, the news could also prove disastrous for the fantasy value of the other skill position players in Indy.

The most immediate concern is for his pass-catchers. Last year the Colts placed two tight ends (Eric Ebron and Jack Doyle) in the top 10 for fantasy points per game, while T.Y. Hilton finished 13th among WRs. There's also been some optimism around new acquisition Devin Funchess.

Sans Luck in 2017 though, Hilton finished only 37th at the position in fantasy points per game, while there was only enough volume to produce one fantasy-relevant TE (Doyle).

The way this could impact Marlon Mack could be even more concerning though. Mack's average draft position (ADP) of RB17 has him going off the board in the third round, which could point to a real threat of Mack being a bust if Luck misses extended time.

Volume is priority number one for running backs in fantasy football, and playing from behind can put a real damper on that volume, especially if it's a running back that doesn't get utilized much in the passing game.

In 2018, half of Mack's games saw the Colts win by at least seven points. In that sample he averaged 20.3 carries and 21.0 fantasy points per game. In the other half, when the Colts were trailing or playing in close games, he averaged only 12.2 carries and 8.7 fantasy points.

This all makes the Andrew Luck injury situation one to monitor very closely. It's not only his value that could collapse if he misses time, but also the rest of the skill position players in Indianapolis that could be left sliding down draft boards.

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Jason Schandl is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Jason Schandl also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username Jaymun. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.