There was a time, not too long ago, when Jordy Nelson was a must-start for any fantasy owner that had him. Paired with Aaron Rodgers, Nelson was a fantasy beast, always getting behind defenses for huge gains and touchdowns.
Let's first look at their production so far in 2018:
Jordy Nelson: 16 targets, 11 receptions, 226 yards, 1 touchdown
Tyler Boyd: 21 targets, 15 receptions, 249 yards, 2 touchdowns
Overall, the season stats are about even, but consistency and opportunity could go the way of Boyd with the recent injury to his teammate A.J. Green. The only reason Nelson's stats look exceptional is he went bananas in Week 3 against the Miami Dolphins, putting up six receptions for 173 yards and a touchdown. Boyd had a rough Week 1 but has since put up 91 yards and 132 yards in back-to-back weeks with a touchdown each time.
So Boyd has a slight statistical edge, but Nelson seems to have an edge in team matchup this week as the Raiders play the Buffalo Bills while the Cincinnati Bengals play the Atlanta Falcons. It's worth noting that the Falcons are 28th (after facing Drew Brees) in the NFL in passing defense and the Bills are 20th.
Also, the Bills just came off that shellacking of the Minnesota Vikings where Kirk Cousins and his talented wide receivers couldn't get anything going. This doesn't mean the Bills are suddenly a team to avoid, but it's not like the Raiders have been lighting up anyone so far in 2018.
This decision is incredibly close, but Jordy Nelson could perform again and easily prove me wrong. However, I'm going with Boyd and his slightly more consistent production.
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Ian McCafferty is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Ian McCafferty also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username itmccaff. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.