As much capital as we might like to invest in the AP Top 25 Poll through first few months of each college football season, the truth is that it's almost completely meaningless ever since the birth of the College Football Playoff Selection Committee in 2014.
What Time Does the College Football Playoff Rankings Come Out?
The first top-25 poll for this year's College Football Playoff rankings is scheduled to be released toward the end of ESPN's College Football Playoff Selection Show, which is set to air at 9 p.m. EST on Tuesday, Nov. 5, 2019.
The Selection Committee's first top-25 poll from each of the past five seasons has reminded everyone that just because a team is flying high in the AP Top 25 Poll doesn't mean they're going to be as well-received in the first CFP poll.
Keeping that mind, here are five teams that could see a drop in the college football rankings come Tuesday night.
1. Wisconsin Badgers
Week 11 AP Poll Rank: No. 16
Despite getting off to a 6-0 start on the back of its then-No. 1-ranked scoring defense in the country, it has now been 23 days since Wisconsin has won a game. The Badgers also boast the worst loss of the entire 2019 college football season by spread, according to FanDuel Sportsbook, after 31-point underdog Illinois defeated Wisconsin, 24-23, in Week 9. The Badgers' follow-up act to that glaring loss then came in the form of a humiliating 38-7 beatdown against No. 3 Ohio State in Week 10. Wisconsin is currently the definition of a team trending the wrong direction with just hours until the release of the first Selection Committee's top-25 poll on Tuesday night.
2. Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Week 11 AP Poll Rank: No. 15
For a team that doesn't play a conference championship game like Notre Dame, there's little room for error in the regular season in order to catch the Selection Committee's eyes. Unfortunately for the Fighting Irish, they've certainly caught the Selection Committee's attention, but for all the wrong reasons. In the past two weeks, a then-top-10 Notre Dame team was run out of the building in a 31-point loss to Michigan, only to respond by scraping together a last-minute touchdown drive to defeat a 17-point underdog in Virginia Tech in their own home stadium in Week 10.
3. San Diego State Aztecs
Week 11 AP Poll Rank: No. 24
Even though the CFP was designed with the intention to expand postseason opportunity, it hasn't trickled down the college football ladder evenly. As much as it hurts to pick on a team like San Diego State, the Selection Committee has shown time and time again that a 7-1 record against the likes of Weber State and New Mexico State doesn't earn the Aztecs many points in their eyes. While it may not be San Diego State specifically, don't be surprised if No. 17 Cincinnati, No. 19 Memphis, No. 21 Boise State or No. 23 SMU gets a tough look from the Selection Committee.
4. Utah Utes
Week 11 AP Poll Rank: No. 8
Considering the best team in the Pac-12 is a one-loss Oregon squad that has already fallen to the SEC's fifth-best team in No. 12 Auburn, don't be surprised if the Selection Committee doesn't find enough room to leave two Pac-12 teams in their top 10. No. 8 Utah added a solid win to its résumé after battling back for 33-28 win over Washington on the road in Week 10, but the Utes have just one win over a top-25 opponent to go with a bad loss to a (currently 5-4) USC team that beat them behind the play of their third-string quarterback at the time in Week 4.
5. Baylor Bears
Week 11 AP Poll Rank: No. 11
The Baylor Bears are in a similar boat to No. 13 Minnesota Golden Gophers. Both teams are undefeated through Week 10, yet there seems to be little confidence that either team is quite as good as their unblemished records might reflect. The Gophers have their biggest test of the season ahead of them this Saturday against No. 5 Penn State, however, which might give the Selection Committee pause to penalize the Gophers only days before facing their first ranked opponent and just their second with a record above .500 on the year. Unlike the way that Minnesota has improved in recent weeks, the Bears have won three of their last five games by a field goal or less. Baylor's biggest test of the 2019 season is also yet to come in Week 12, when Baylor takes on No. 9 Oklahoma at home.
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David Hayes is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, David Hayes also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username DavidWHayes. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.