With that in mind, here are three of the most intriguing long shot prop bets for the 49ers in Super Bowl LIV.
1. Jimmy Garoppolo to Throw for 300+ Yards / San Francisco 49ers to Win (+650)
Jimmy Garoppolo's involvement, or lack thereof, has been discussed thoroughly. But the 49ers' franchise quarterback has consistently stepped up when this team needs him to put up points. San Francisco has played four games against an opponent that ranks as a top-five passing offense by Football Outsiders' DVOA metric. In those four, Garoppolo is averaging 261.8 passing yards per game – well above the 248.6 he averaged over the course of the regular season. Garoppolo will almost certainly have to be much more involved in this one to keep up with Kansas City. He's shown he's capable of explosive performances this season, throwing for at least 315 yards on three occasions. Notably, SF is 3-0 in such contests.
2. First Touchdown / Match Winner Double: Raheem Mostert / San Francisco 49ers (+1100)
While Garoppolo could certainly see a bump in workload, Raheem Mostert was essentially unstoppable in the NFC Championship. He tallied 220 rushing yards on 29 carries, scoring four touchdowns on the ground. The Chiefs, meanwhile, are also a bottom-five run defense by DVOA, and surrendered the fourth-most yards per carry in the NFL. If San Francisco scores early, Mostert is the most likely candidate on the team to find the end zone, and holding a lead should play right into the 49ers' hands, potentially allowing them to control the clock and seal the victory with the run game.
3. Any Time Touchdown / Match Winner Double: Deebo Samuel / San Francisco 49ers (+340)
Despite seeing a somewhat limited workload, Deebo Samuel has been making his presence felt. He's averaging 68.5 yards from scrimmage per game in the playoffs, despite averaging just 4.0 touches per game during that span. In fact, he's averaging 82.8 yards from scrimmage over his last four, scoring two touchdowns during that span. The 49ers have made a concerted effort to get Samuel, who is arguably their most explosive receiver, involved. The 49ers are 5-1 in the six games that Samuel has found the end zone, and if he hits paydirt in the Super Bowl, San Francisco certainly has a chance to win outright.
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Max Staley is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Max Staley also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username mstaley1212. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.