Updated Odds to be No. 1 Overall Pick in 2020 NFL Draft see Joe Burrow Take Huge Lead

Tristan Jung
Joe Burrow runs the ball in the CFP National Championship against Clemson.
Joe Burrow runs the ball in the CFP National Championship against Clemson. / Alika Jenner/Getty Images
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With the 2020 NFL Draft just over four months away, there is one name at the top of everyone's lists. LSU quarterback Joe Burrow finished one of the greatest seasons in college football history with a national title, and it's clear that he's the odds-on favorite to be the No. 1 overall pick at Fanduel Sportsbook.

Odds to be the No. 1 pick in the NFL Draft

Burrow's rise has been meteoric, to say the least. He currently sits at -2200 to be picked No. 1 overall, either by the Cincinnati Bengals or (however unlikely it may be) another team trading up for the pick. At the beginning of the year, Burrow wasn't on the radar for the first round. Meanwhile, Alabama's Tua Tagovailoa had been the consensus choice for No. 1 overall for almost two years. But after Tagovailoa's hip injury and Burrow monumental season, the odds have shifted dramatically.

As late as November 21, 2019, Burrow was just +100 to be the No. 1 overall pick, with Ohio State defensive end Chase Young breathing down his neck at +175. However, as Burrow went from great to legendary and the QB-needy Bengals continued to fall, the odds continued to fall. By late December his odds sat at 950, then -1150 by early January. Now Burrow sits as -2200, a 95.7% implied probability. That's a 45.7% shift from his +100 odds just two months ago.

The projected No. 2 overall pick, still Chase Young, is now at +1200. Georgia OT Andrew Thomas and Tagovailoa are tied at +2400. Oregon QB Justin Herbert, who could've been the No. 1 pick had he declared in 2019, is now at +3600. It seems as if only a freak injury could knock Burrow off of his perch.

However, you can't argue Burrow doesn't deserve his status. The numbers that Burrow has sported in 2019 are extraordinary. Setting a new NCAA record in total touchdown passes (60) and throwing for 5,671 yards, there's just no reason the Bengals shouldn't take him as the successor to Andy Dalton and Ryan Finley. With Burrow famously hailing from Ohio himself, the match couldn't be better.

There's still a while before the NFL Draft starts, but right now, the No. 1 overall pick looks to be all but set in stone.


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Tristan Jung is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Tristan Jung also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username tristan1117. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

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