The Duel

Tyrell Williams Fantasy Upside Could Be Big Following Jon Gruden Quote About Derek Carr

Jason Schandl
Oakland Raiders v Arizona Cardinals
Oakland Raiders v Arizona Cardinals / Christian Petersen/Getty Images

He's not struggling with frostbite or ill-fitting helmets and he's not been a star on "Hard Knocks," so it can be easy to forget about Tyrell Williams as he settles into his new home with the Oakland Raiders.

The former Los Angeles Charger has shown some serious fantasy football upside in his career, which includes finishing 13th in standard-scoring fantasy points among wide receivers in 2016. His value has fallen off over the last couple of seasons, but a move to Oakland could point to a resurgence, especially if Jon Gruden's recent comments play out.

Williams' value is tied to the fact that he has been one of the premier deep threats in the NFL. Since he came into the league in 2015, only three wide receivers (minimum 100 receptions) average more than his 16.3 yards per catch.

On the surface, that looks like it would make him a bad fit in an offense led by Derek Carr, whose 6.9-yard average depth of target in 2018 was the third-shortest among QBs with at least 200 attempts.

Just because Carr hasn't been throwing downfield doesn't mean he isn't capable of it though. Per ProFootabllFocus, he finished second in the AFC in passer rating on deep passes in 2016, and in 2018 he ranked top-five in adjusted completion percentage on deep attempts.

With Williams and Antonio Brown replacing Jared Cook and Jordy Nelson as Carr's top weapons, early indications are that the desire to stretch the field on offense is more than just idle coach-speak from Gruden. They've brought in the personnel to make those changes.

Williams isn't likely to produce consistent fantasy numbers, since deep targets are inherently more volatile and the Raiders' offense isn't exactly an exciting one. His upside could be huge though, with the ability to post week-winning fantasy scores on just a couple of receptions.

That potential inconsistency is more than priced in to his low average draft position (ADP) of WR49, per Even so, his huge weekly upside could make him a valuable fantasy football sleeper in 2019 drafts.

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Jason Schandl is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Jason Schandl also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username Jaymun. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.