We're slowly inching toward the kickoff of Super Bowl LVI between the Cincinnati Bengals and Los Angeles Rams. The two-week lead up to the game has given bettors plenty of time to analyze the matchup and make their bets on FanDuel Sportsbook.
If you've decided to back Cincinnati, and you're looking to juice up the potential payout, a parlay is probably the way to go. Here's a parlay to consider if you like the Bengals this week.
Bengals vs Rams Super Bowl Parlay
- Leg One: Cincinnati Bengals Moneyline (+172)
- Leg Two: Joe Burrow - Alt. Passing Yards: 300+ Yards (+142)
- Bet: $10 wins $48.54 (+488)
If the Bengals win this week, you have to think either the defense played lights-out football, or Joe Burrow delivered a big game. That's because the Bengals are not going to be able to run the ball on Sunday.
The Rams have a top-five run defense by DVOA, surrendering the sixth-fewest rushing yards (1,754) and the seventh-fewest yards per carry (4.0). And they've taken it up a notch in the postseason.
With Aaron Donald and Von Miller plugging up holes upfront, LA has yet to surrender more than 61 rushing yards in any of its three playoff games. That includes a remarkable performance against one of the league's best rushing attacks in the 49ers, as San Francisco got a combined 46 rushing yards on 18 carries from Elijah Mitchell and Deebo Samuel.
Needless to say, this Bengals' rushing offense is nowhere near as prolific as San Francisco's. Joe Mixon has been held under 60 rushing yards in six of his last eight games, and Cincy owns a below-average rushing attack by DVOA (No. 20 in the NFL).
There's no way Zac Taylor is going to remain as committed to the run as he was against the Chiefs last week. Kansas City's run defense doesn't even belong in the same conversation as LA's.
That's all essentially a long way of saying: if this offense is moving the ball on Sunday, it'll be Joe Burrow doing the heavy lifting. And the newly-minted superstar is more than capable of doing that.
Burrow has thrown for at least 300 yards in five of his last eight games, averaging 327.3 per game in that time.
Yes, the Rams' pass-rush is a concern. That matchup upfront is clearly the single-biggest mismatch in this game. But it might not matter as much as you think, because Burrow has proven he's pretty much unflappable under pressure.
He was ProFootballFocus' third-highest graded passer when under pressure this season. He also finished with the third-most yards when under duress (1,304), averaging the NFL's second-most yards per attempt in such situations (8.0). And he just managed to throw for 348 yards in the Divisional Round despite taking a whopping 9 sacks.
If you want to get crazy, you can juice up this parlay even more. Parlaying Bengals moneyline with Burrow to throw for 325+ would return $81.68 (+816) on a $10 wager, and 350+ would net out at $134.44 (+1344).
But taking Burrow to throw for 300+ yards in a Bengals' victory feels like the best option. It's not that unrealistic and still returns at greater than 5-to-1 odds if it hits.
Bet $5 to win $280 on either team to win Super Bowl 56!