Steelers Super Bowl Odds Are Shockingly Low With Ben Roethlisberger Returning in 2020

Jason Schandl
The Pittsburgh Steelers' Super Bowl odds are underrating them with Ben Roethlisberger returning in 2020.
The Pittsburgh Steelers' Super Bowl odds are underrating them with Ben Roethlisberger returning in 2020. / Rob Carr/Getty Images
facebooktwitterreddit

The Pittsburgh Steelers had about as encouraging an 8-8 season as possible in 2019. Despite losing franchise QB Ben Roethlisberger and getting poor play from his replacements, their defense was strong enough to carry them to a respectable finish.

They're getting Roethlisberger back in 2020, and he's a significant favorite to win NFL Comeback Player of the Year. Even though oddsmakers are high on Big Ben, that doesn't seem to have translated to the Steelers' odds to win Super Bowl 55. At +2400 they're in a three-way tie for the 13th-best odds in the NFL.

Of course it's not a guarantee that a 38-year-old QB returns from a missed season playing at a high level, but considering his +250 odds to win Comeback Player of the Year, the betting markets should be factoring in a pretty high chance that Roethlisberger has a strong season.

And it wouldn't even take a full bounce-back to represent a huge upgrade over Mason Rudolph's 2019 season either. Rudolph averaged an egregious 5.7 adjusted yards per pass attempt (AY/A), while Roethlisberger's last time posting a mark below 7.2 AY/A (min. 100 pass attempts) was in 2008. Since 2017 his average sits at 7.4 AY/A.

The Pittsburgh defense ranked third in Football Outsiders' defensive DVOA metric, checking in at No. 3 both against the pass and the run, and even a slight improvement on offense should put this team back in the playoffs and Super Bowl contention.


Get $20 FREE when you sign up for FanDuel Racing, plus we’ll match your first deposit in site credit up to $50!


Jason Schandl is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Jason Schandl also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username Jaymun. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

facebooktwitterreddit