The Duel

Packers Are Being Disrespected by 2020 NFL Season Win Total After Winning 13 Games in 2019

Jason Schandl
The Packers'  projected 2020 win total is set shockingly low after they earned a first-round bye with 13 wins in 2019.
The Packers' projected 2020 win total is set shockingly low after they earned a first-round bye with 13 wins in 2019. / Harry How/Getty Images
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Green Bay Packers fans didn't get the finish to the season they wanted in 2019, losing to the San Francisco 49ers in the NFC Championship. Still, the team put together an excellent year, finishing with a 13-3 record and earning a first-round bye in the postseason.

Despite that terrific showing, there doesn't seem to be a ton of optimism shining on the Packers for the 2020 season. NFL win total over/under lines are up on FanDuel Sportsbook, and Green Bay's is sitting at just 9 wins, with equal odds (-110) on the over and under.

In 2019 the Packers rolled out a middle-of-the-pack defense, which checked in at 15th in Football Outsiders' DVOA metric, as well as a terrific offense, which ranked eighth.

Sure, Aaron Rodgers maybe starting to see his play drop off some, but he still had a strong year. He finished 12th among qualifying passers with an average of 7.6 adjusted yards per pass attempt (AY/A), and nobody was better at protecting the football. His 0.7 percent interception rate was the only mark below 1.0 percent for any qualifying passer. He's also still surrounded by weapons, with Davante Adams and Aaron Jones both returning in 2020.

On the defensive side of the ball, the Pack lost linebacker Blake Martinez to free agency, but they stayed strong at the position by adding former Cleveland Brown Christian Kirksey.

Green Bay also has its full complement of draft picks to make key additions in April.

A 13-win season is obviously a difficult thing to repeat, and you can project just about anyone to win fewer games the following year when they hit that mark. But the drop from 13 wins to 9 wins is a huge one, and a projection like that has to sting for Packers fans.


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Jason Schandl is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Jason Schandl also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username Jaymun. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

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