The Duel

NFL Week 3 ATS Matchups to Exploit

Max Staley
Michael Reaves/Getty Images
facebooktwitterreddit

For the most part, the favorites did their jobs in Week 2 of the NFL season. The largest outright upset in Week 2 was the Carolina Panthers, as they lost to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers despite entering the game as 7-point favorites.

With that in mind, let's take a look at some against the spread (ATS) matchups that could potentially be exploited in Week 3.

3. Either of the 21-Plus Point Underdogs New York Jets (+23), Miami Dolphins (+21.5)

Michael Reaves/Getty Images

If you're a little cautious about backing a historically terrible Miami Dolphins team (outscored by 92 points thus far) or the train wreck that is the New York Jets (starting third-string QB Luke Falk), we understand. However, when a team is favored by 21 points or more, that team hasn't performed too well ATS. In fact, the favorites have only gone 11-22-2 ATS in such contests, though they're 35-0 straight up. Even with the New England Patriots and Dallas Cowboys looking like juggernauts, the numbers suggest that the Dolphins and Jets have a decent shot at covering the spread.

2. New Orleans Saints vs. Seattle Seahawks (-4.5)

Joe Sargent/Getty Images

This will now be the second straight week that the Seattle Seahawks are facing a future Hall-of-Fame QB's backup. They handled the Pittsburgh Steelers with Mason Rudolph at the helm for most of the game, winning on the road, 28-26. They could catch another break in Week 3, as Teddy Bridgewater's performance didn't inspire much confidence. Teddy and the Saints' offense only mustered nine points, and he'll be making his first start since 2015. He'll have to do that in Seattle, where the Seahawks have gone 17-7 straight up since 2016. Unless New Orleans can quickly readjust with Bridgewater at the helm, Seattle could cover the spread in Week 3.

1. Pittsburgh Steelers vs. San Francisco 49ers (-6.5)

Andy Lyons/Getty Images

The San Francisco 49ers have been wildly effective through two weeks. They've outscored their two opponents by a combined 38 points thus far, with San Francisco's average margin of victory being 19.0 points per game. Pittsburgh has been really susceptible to the big play through two weeks, allowing a total of eight different pass-catchers to have a reception go for 20 yards or more. That could be a problem against Jimmy Garoppolo, who averaged 11.9 yards per attempt against the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 2.


Join FanDuel Sportsbook Today. New users get a risk-free bet up to $500. Join Now.


Max Staley is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Max Staley also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username mstaley1212. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

facebooktwitterreddit