The Duel

MLB Home Run Totals Keep Increasing Astronomically

Mike Esposito
Chicago Cubs v Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs v Milwaukee Brewers / Dylan Buell/Getty Images
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Some MLB pitchers are saying the baseballs may be juiced, and the numbers are seemingly backing that up. With home runs per game increasing every month since the start of the 2019 MLB season, July has taken the cake so far.

Coming into Monday's slate, MLB teams are averaging a season-high 1.46 home runs per game, up from 1.41 in June, following 1.37 in May and 1.31 combined between March and April.

The steady increase in power throughout the season is significant, and it's also a trend that bettors should absolutely keep an eye on. As of July 15, 12 MLB teams are averaging at least 5.00 runs per game. Last season, only three topped that total.

The increased rate that balls are leaving the park could affect over/under lines, with today's totals ranging from eight to 14.5 runs. With four players having totaled at least 30 home runs and another 10 with at least 24, bettors may want to weigh this spike in home run totals before placing any future bets on an over/under total.


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Mike Esposito is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Mike Esposito also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username espo6891. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

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